this post was submitted on 26 Mar 2026
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It won't be as clean and permanent as the NFT crash was. Hard to say for sure if you'll get the specific wins you're looking for.
It's a lose-lose proposition whether the bottom of it falls out or not. The investment in AI is the only healthy looking "growth" sector in our economy. So if you don't want what feels like the looming recession to happen, then you want this fantasy to continue. But this fantasy is built on this evil technology.
And so when the bubble pops, and suddenly everyone has to pay for this shit by way of enduring a recession, at least that will make using AI itself less palatable because it won't be available for its current highly subsidized pricing, but those unemployment rates and prices on things will likely be going up.
But the technology isn't going away, much like how the atomic bomb isn't going away. It exists. It's part of reality now.
LLMs have some uses, NFTs were pure fiction. AI will definitely deflate, but I don't see the tech going anywhere. It'll probably become way more expensive tho.
You can already run quantized Chinese models on consumer hardware. The bubble is gonna burst because LLMs are becoming a cheap commodity, but the technology isn't going anywhere.
Blockchain has a use and all the companies who were trying to jam blockchain into irrelevant shit are gone. I think AI companies shifting away from grabbing eyeballs to actually making money will help raise prices of enterprise licenses so more companies stop forcing it on all their employees and start rationing it. Right now our fucking chats are fed into it so when everyone signs off for the night, we get a notification that says something like "various participants wished the others a pleasant evening." That might cost a penny now but it made somebody feel like they were on the cutting edge of something. When it costs a dollar and is clearly going to remain precisely that useless, I sure hope that same somebody pulls the plug.
Blockchains aren't necessarily good or efficient things, but they do still exist. Unlike NFTs. I don't have any reason to think AI won't be the same. Transformers and LLMs are way better at NLP than anything else that has been invented so far. That's not going away, people will just have to actually justify their use once the prices start to match the costs.
That said, I think looped models, RYS, and other alt model architectures will continue to drive the training costs down like Deepseek did and totally demolish the AI company valuations. Just make it bigger was never going to be a winning strategy, it's completely naive. That's really the source of the bubble. The technology has nothing to do with it, the tech bros are just desperate for a machine god and they got caught up in their chat bot delulu about it and made it everyone's problem.