Absolutely, the Iran has no reason to allow shipments as long as the war continues, and the US has no ability to protect ships trying to run the blockade. We already saw how that played out in Suez.

[–] PanArab@lemmy.ml 8 points 17 hours ago

On the upside this should help Russia.

The Burger Empire goes to war for oil usually, this time they went to war to bring Jesus back. Maybe he will change water to oil?

[–] HiddenLayer555@lemmy.ml 3 points 17 hours ago* (last edited 15 hours ago) (1 children)

[–] queermunist@lemmy.ml 10 points 17 hours ago* (last edited 17 hours ago)

It's also going to impact fertilizer prices and shipping prices. No one is going to be fine.

[–] dan69@lemmy.world 2 points 18 hours ago (1 children)

So he’s gonna broker a deal at some point and say he brought the price per barrel down to the lowest it’s ever been??

[–] yogthos@lemmy.ml 13 points 18 hours ago (1 children)

Thing is I don't see any off ramp here for the US. There's no reason for Iran to do another ceasefire at this point. Their best play is to push the US out of the region entirely.

[–] avidamoeba@lemmy.ca 4 points 16 hours ago (2 children)

Perhaps the contradictions between Israel's interest and Trump's voter base's would finally reach a breaking point and the US would slap Israel and ragequit the war?

[–] yogthos@lemmy.ml 6 points 16 hours ago (1 children)

At this point, they'd have to leave the whole region. I don't see why Iran would stop when they're winning.

[–] eldavi@lemmy.ml 3 points 3 hours ago (1 children)

because of it's people: the iranian leaders give a fuck about its people whereas the western leader do not give a fuck about its people. things will get worse for both groups and only the iranians have leaders who care at all.

[–] yogthos@lemmy.ml 4 points 3 hours ago

If Iran is defeated it will be a complete disaster for the people there. Just look at Libya or Syria as examples. That's what the people are facing. This is an existential war against extermination for them.

[–] queermunist@lemmy.ml 6 points 16 hours ago (1 children)

I could see this playing out. Already, people in the admin and media are saying that we started this war to protect Israel (or because of Israel, or even dragged into war by Israel) and that seems like the first step to an off-ramp.

[–] avidamoeba@lemmy.ca 4 points 16 hours ago (1 children)

Combine that with the sharp pain this is about to bring:

[–] queermunist@lemmy.ml 5 points 15 hours ago

The whole stock market has shaved off 2%, with the Dow down 900.

I wonder if we'll see the markets trip their circuit breakers tomorrow and halt trading.