this post was submitted on 29 Jul 2026
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The issue with Ukraine is very little leftist pre-work for the eventual break out of the conflict. We fucked up by misreading that Russia would invade over it and saying that Russia would not.
Compare this with Palestine, where there are literally decades worth of leftists talking about the issue, the ongoing problems, the open air prison conditions, etc etc.
With nothing to point to but a handful of BBC clips covering the nazis there and the immediateness of the BBC flipping the script and acting like that was just a few of them and Ukraine doesn't actually have a problem, the bourgeois media took control of that narrative and set in the minds of the people a clear story that has solidified. Once the story is set and gains traction it's almost impossible to dislodge.
With Palestine on the other hand, years of leftist content and no mistakes about what Israel would do made it very easy for the left to secure the narrative.
If we had years worth of discussion about Ukraine and Donbas before Russia stepped in, with correct analysis and a correct assessment that Russia would step in and proper reasoning for that before it happened, the left could have won that narrative. The left however spent years largely ignoring what was happening there and then acting like Russia would never do what they did. It was a collective fuck up.
I am guilty here as well but so were Russian comrades. I was literally talking to a Russian friend on discord the day it happened as it happened and we were both completely taken off guard.
I don't think anyone thought they were going to do a full scale invasion. And for we know maybe neither did they.
it's certainly been very costly and most of the "nah they wouldn't" was predicated on an unwillingness to pay those costs in materiel and blood.
So was I. We all kinda fucked up.
The only part of the left that didn't fuck up was the one writing about russian imperialism, which contributed to the benefit of the western media narrative taking hold.
The lesson we need to take from it is not to ignore conflicts happening and to make sure we analyse them better from the perspective of what narratives the west will want to push and pre-preparation against those narratives. People must be primed BEFORE the bourgeois media starts to make up their story. If they're not primed, the bourgeois media will win narrative wars.