This entire Simplicus piece, is as usual, pure fiction and will age very badly, like everything he's written about Venezuela for instance. For example, this is what he wrote on Venezuela:
The reason is, as ‘rumored’ reports last week had indicated, Trump is uncertain about the success of any major military action against Venezuela; in short, Trump is afraid to walk into a giant blunder and face humiliation at the hands of one of South America’s largest military forces.
The reality was quite different. The US captured Maduro within a few hours, if that.
He's quoting information/disinfo warfare articles from US media as if they're the truth, zero critical examination of the claims, the leaks or motivations. The US has flown over 300 cargo flights of massive C-17 and C-5 strategic airlifters to the Middle East to deliver munitions and air defence assets, and has forward deployed 300 tactical fighter aircraft to bases in the Middle East, and some in the UK currently that will shortly make the trip over. The US has more than enough forces for a sustained bombing campaign if the choice is made. On stealth aircraft alone, there are 11 F-22s in Israel, 30 F-35As in Jordan, 12 F-35Cs on the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier, and 12 F-35As and 13 F-22s in the UK busy transiting to the Middle East. That is a massive force of stealth planes. Israel has 48 F-35Is themselves. A total force of 124 stealth fighters is available..Never in history have so many stealth aircraft been available for a military operation, it's complete overkill vs Iran. Only 59 F-117s were ever built. And modern stealth planes are a lot more capable than the F-117, which didn't even have a functional radio during combat.
Just one look at the numbers and you can tell a lot of these articles by politico or whoever are just making stuff up. Information warfare.
Munitions cornern is much more real for air defence against ballistic missiles than offensive weapons. The US has plenty of SDBs, JDAMs and Paveway bombs to use in Iran. Stocks of SM-3, SM-6, PATRIOT PAC 3 MSE, and THAAD Talon for ballistic missile defence are significantly more critical and depleted. But, and this is very important for US strategic thinking and sequencing, if Iran's level of ballistic missile development increases, and they start cranking out ballistic missiles in large numbers, that puts US interceptor stocks in an even worse scenario than they are now, if no action is taken against Iran's ballistic missile programme. That is what US warplanners will be thinking about. Today Iran might have 1000 long range ballistic missiles for instance, in five years they may have 10 000. There is no way that just "playing defence" can deal with that. Today air defences in the region may cope reasonably well when dealing with a volley of ballistic missiles from Iran, in 5 years they won't be able to. The window for action is narrow
