this post was submitted on 30 Jul 2026
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[–] khepri@lemmy.world 1 points 2 hours ago* (last edited 2 hours ago)

I know chip and RAM fabs are incredibly difficult and expensive to build, but how is the several trillion $ out there just up for grabs for anyone that can undercut the like 4 companies that have one not enough for tons of huge companies to say "I don't care what it costs, I don't care what you have to do, because even if I pay 50x what it costs nvidia to make a fab, I will still be scrooging like a villain"?

[–] DScratch@sh.itjust.works 8 points 11 hours ago (1 children)

“YOU WERE SUPPOSED TO BREAK THE MONOPOLY! NOT JOIN THEM!”

5 years from now.

[–] jaschen306@sh.itjust.works 1 points 11 hours ago (1 children)

5 years if they plan to just stick with 7nm. 5nm will take a good 10 years and the even more advanced stuff is 15+ years.

[–] DScratch@sh.itjust.works 7 points 6 hours ago

At this point I’d settle for 5cm, if it helped prices at all.

[–] jaschen306@sh.itjust.works 14 points 14 hours ago (1 children)

Even if you started a few years ago, you won't get a working fab producing anything within 5 years and that is considering if it's a 5 or 7nm chip. If you want anything as advanced as tsmc 2nm chips, you're well within 10-15+ years.

I live in Taiwan and have friends who work at TSMC. They are NOT kidding around when it comes to security. No personal cellphones. No smart devices. My buddy couldn't get approved for a basic pedometer.

[–] rollerbang@lemmy.world 4 points 11 hours ago (1 children)

I'm aware you probably didn't mean it like this (or maybe did), but it kind of sounds like you're saying they're better of not doing anything at all. Who cares about long term goals 🤷‍♂️

[–] jaschen306@sh.itjust.works 3 points 11 hours ago

No, I'm saying this article is literally meaningless. Nobody knows what the hell will happen in 1 year let alone 15+ years later.

Assuming TSMC or Samsung or hell, even Intel didn't do ANY improvements or even finish the fabs they are CURRENTLY working on. Even with this rare assumption, Huawei won't effect the market. They are simply too far behind the tech to be able to make a difference.

[–] Zedstrian@sopuli.xyz 71 points 18 hours ago (4 children)

Protectionists complain about Chinese market dominance, yet Chinese companies are the only ones entering the DRAM market in response to the dramatic increase in demand.

[–] TarantulaFudge@startrek.website 1 points 8 hours ago

There's a reason. US is buying all memory fab capacity to deprive other countries, including China, from having access to RAM. The RAM companies, taking advantage of this situation and colluding, are raising prices and limiting production to create false scarcity. Unfortunately this means the average American has to pay arm and a leg for even small amounts of memory and storage.

[–] mesamunefire@piefed.social 1 points 8 hours ago* (last edited 8 hours ago)

I brought up last time that if RAM prices keep going up and up, it makes more economic sense to make more factories/facilities.

Theres always those people who say that it doesn't make sense to make new facilities, but I really dont see chip shortages to stop. With climate change being a thing and supply chain issues popping up more and more, I just dont see an end within the next 10 years. Makes more sense to bring some of that in house.

[–] FlashMobOfOne@lemmy.world 4 points 12 hours ago

Understanding it'll take some time for any competition to have an impact, it's still nice to see that someone, somewhere in the world is looking at this manufactured scarcity and deciding not to exploit it.

[–] NaibofTabr@infosec.pub 24 points 18 hours ago (2 children)

It is way too late to be starting a new chip fab for it to be relevant to the current market. If they are producing reliable chips 5 years from now that'll be fast.

[–] MyOpinion@lemmy.today 17 points 18 hours ago (2 children)

China speed will kick in and it will be next year they will own the market.

[–] NaibofTabr@infosec.pub 10 points 18 hours ago (2 children)

Not likely. It doesn't matter how much slave labor you throw at it, getting a new fabrication machine to the necessary precision to make modern chips requires a lot of time.

[–] mholiv@lemmy.world 14 points 16 hours ago (1 children)

I mean making the machines to make chips and making a factory that uses said machines are two different things.

There are already factories in China making DDR5 and DDR4 ram now days.

Huawei would just provide the support and resources needed to scale up a new large factory.

No slave labor needed. All you need is a modern, advanced, high skill, responsive industrial base which China has.

[–] NaibofTabr@infosec.pub 3 points 13 hours ago (1 children)

I mean making the machines to make chips and making a factory that uses said machines are two different things.

True.

There are already factories in China making DDR5 and DDR4 ram now days.

Are they actually fabricating the silicon, or just packaging it?

No slave labor needed. All you need is a modern, advanced, high skill, responsive industrial base which China has.

Sure, like the people working at Foxconn:

https://truthout.org/articles/a-suicide-survivor-the-life-of-a-chinese-migrant-worker-at-foxconn/

[–] mholiv@lemmy.world 5 points 13 hours ago

They are making it from scratch. There are lots of sources but this is the first one I found. I assume they package it as well.

https://www.tomshardware.com/pc-components/ddr5/chinese-memory-maker-cxmt-enters-the-mainstream-consumer-memory-with-corsair-vengeance-ddr5-kit-chinese-made-dram-emerges-as-an-antidote-for-crushing-shortages

Foxcom assembles sub models into complete products. Still higher than slave labor level skills, but not as high as chip fabrication I admit. You need a skill base to assemble phones at a high level.

[–] huppakee@lemmy.world 2 points 17 hours ago

China speed proves real every time though

[–] normanwall@lemmy.world 8 points 18 hours ago (1 children)

Cxmt is already one of their most valuable companies in the stock market

[–] inari@piefed.zip 2 points 13 hours ago

My guess is this is why Huawei wants in on the action

[–] tabarnaski@sh.itjust.works 1 points 11 hours ago

Maybe they are aiming for something like Temu: ultra low quality, super cheap and ready to flood the market in 6 months

[–] humanspiral@lemmy.ca 2 points 11 hours ago

Huawei is far ahead of Nvidia in AI clusters despite sanctions made against it, and 5 year behind tech stack. 50% cost/performance advantage over GB300 nvl72, (including building costs) by building outdoor siteable pods with 3 week lead times. CXMT is now most valuable company in China, but because of Huawei sanctions, they sell 64gb ddr5 modules at higher price than Samsung just to Huawei. Huawei needs its own RAM fab because it is harassed by west, and Chinese suppliers price to them with "captured customer" awareness.

[–] mannycalavera@feddit.uk 3 points 18 hours ago (1 children)

And they should rightly ban sales to the US. Check mate orange man.

[–] Themosthighstrange@lemmy.world -1 points 8 hours ago (1 children)

I voted democrat the last 15 years, yet because im in the usa, fuck me right? go fuck yourself

[–] mannycalavera@feddit.uk 1 points 3 hours ago

I vote Democrats. Yes. Because they're any better. 🥲