this post was submitted on 15 Dec 2025
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A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like "in Minecraft") and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is of Donald Trump, Paul Kagame, and Felix Tshisekedi signing a peace deal in Washington DC on December 4th.


On December 4th, Rwanda's Paul Kagame and the DRC's Felix Tshisekedi signed the Washington Accords for Peace and Prosperity (pictured above). Trump boasted that he was settling a war that had gone on for decades, and remarked, idiosyncratically, "[...] and now they’re going to spend a lot of time hugging, holding hands [...]"

A few days later, the M23 militia (backed by Rwanda) advanced into Uvira, a city near the DRC's eastern border with Burundi and a major commercial and strategic location in the region. Burundi, although a small country, is a significant ally to the DRC and has sent thousands of soldiers to aid them during conflicts; this offensive by M23 aims to cut off a direct route between the two, though they do still share quite a long border over Lake Tanganyika. Tens of thousands of civilians (possibly up to 200,000) fled as M23 approached.

Signed almost simultaneously with the Accords was a Strategic Partnership Agreement between the DRC and the United States, which effectively threw open its critical minerals in the east to American exploitation. These minerals include tin, tungsten, and tantalum, which is vital for many industries. The irony is that M23 has been taking territory in the eastern DRC in order to transport these very minerals to Rwanda and onwards to global supply chains. Signing the Accord was, therefore, a remarkably pointless endeavour for everybody involved. Burundi and the DRC have complained, calling for sanctions on Rwanda, and appeasing to Trump's pride, calling this a "slap in the face to the United States", though I doubt the US is ultimately all that bothered about it one way or another.


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Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

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https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
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https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

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https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Tervell@hexbear.net 73 points 1 week ago (6 children)

https://xcancel.com/shanaka86/status/2000059624633106873

THE GRID WILL BREAK FIRST

Texas just received requests for 226 gigawatts of data center power. The entire state runs on 85 gigawatts. Here is what nobody is telling you. ERCOT's interconnection queue nearly quadrupled in twelve months. From 63 gigawatts in December 2024 to 226 gigawatts by November 2025. Seventy-three percent is data centers. The AI infrastructure buildout is now the largest in American history.

But here is the number that changes everything: 3%. Of the 226 gigawatts requested, only 7.5 gigawatts are actually connected and operating. Fifty-seven percent of the queue has not even submitted planning studies. Joshua Rhodes at UT Austin called it "laughable." His estimate for what actually gets built by 2030? Twenty to thirty gigawatts. Ten percent of the queue. The rest is vapor.

Meanwhile, Oracle just delayed OpenAI data centers from 2027 to 2028. The company carries $108 billion in debt. Negative $10 billion free cash flow. Credit default swaps at 126 to 141 basis points, the highest since 2020. And it owes OpenAI 4.5 gigawatts of capacity under a $300 billion contract. OpenAI loses $9 billion per year. It must grow revenue fivefold in two years just to pay Oracle. The circular financing everyone fears? We verified it. The $610 billion figure circulating through financial media is inflated tenfold. Actual executed investments: $63 to $70 billion. Still unprecedented. Still concentrated risk. But not the imminent collapse some predict.

The real constraint is not financial. It is physical. Electrons cannot be printed. Transmission lines take a decade. Generation capacity takes five to seven years. The hyperscalers have the capital. They do not have the kilowatts. This is not a bubble that pops. It is a ceiling that binds. Data center vacancy: 1.9%. Pre-leasing: 84%. The demand is real. The timeline to meet it is not. Position accordingly.

Read the full article - https://substack.com/inbox/post/181563975

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 57 points 1 week ago

This is kind of the US strategy of forcing the Soviet Union to spend an insane amount of money on military hardware instead of living standards, except it's China forcing the United States to spent an insane amount of money on data centres and electricity buildout instead of living standards just to "keep up." The AI race is already over, because China generates more electricity than the United States, the EU, and India combined and could probably double that in no time at low cost. Even if you have the best model ever, it can't do much if everything isn't electrified.

[–] dat_math@hexbear.net 51 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (2 children)

Electrons cannot be printed

Does anybody else absolutely loathe the conflation of the ~~energy carrying~~ energetic particle with the energy ~~it carries~~ driving them in discussions on data center power?

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 36 points 1 week ago (1 children)

It's an AI slop written substack, in general I find this trend of AI written nonsense everywhere very annoying.

[–] Commie_Chameleon@hexbear.net 15 points 1 week ago

kitty-birthday-sad Oh my god of course it’s AI. I thought it was just bad. I gotta get my AI detector recalibrated.

Or maybe I just view this as me being successfully online less. Uhhhhhhh yeah that’s it

[–] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 35 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Well actually, the EM field carries the energy!

Meh, I think it is ok when you are just trying to convey some general idea, it is not like the article is talking about the LHC or quantum mechanics.

[–] dat_math@hexbear.net 20 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Well actually, the EM field carries the energy!

Indeed this makes so much more sense than what I wrote! Thank you for correcting a misconception that my E&M course (designed for nonphysics science majors) didn't reveal.

[–] FALGSConaut@hexbear.net 50 points 1 week ago (3 children)

lathe-of-heaven Trying to ask Grok why my power is out while the AI datacenter next to me is lit up like a Christmas tree

[–] LeninWeave@hexbear.net 17 points 1 week ago

while the AI datacenter next to me is lit up like a Christmas tree

is-this Is this fedposting?

[–] TheSovietOnion@hexbear.net 33 points 1 week ago (1 children)

China's falling internal demand vs America's energy collapse, the race of the century

.(Just a joke, I'm stupid in economics)

[–] spectre@hexbear.net 29 points 1 week ago

One of the issues can be resolved relatively easily through economic stimulus/policy. Ironically it is not in the country that runs purely on economic policy.

[–] SNAFU@lemmygrad.ml 29 points 1 week ago

Honestly, not surprising to hear this, Texas is a literal shithole, physically, mentally, psychologically, etc- and I live in a particularly shit-filled area (oil baron country), so the miasma is literally in the air.

[–] marxisthayaca@hexbear.net 18 points 1 week ago

These large companies should be prioritizing cheaper llms, like fractions of a penny to run. And dragging the U.S into a green energy boom, but nooooooo. Fascist Fossil Capital is at play.