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That really is the best opportunity for China to take Taiwan. Wait a little bit longer until stockpiles are empty and ground troops are deployed and then strike while the USA is occupied
Why would China bother?
China is about to become what America was: #1 country, #1 economy, with oil traded in their currency, with resources available across the globe.
China's investments in Trump are about to pay off huge.
Why fuck with a winning hand by invading a small island when they can just keep doing what they're doing, and let Taiwan make semiconductors for China, and collect all the benefits of being Top Dog?
Taiwan might be asking to join China to protect itself from perceived American aggression at this rate.
Already kinda is, it feels like.
I’m Canadian; most people here seemed extremely happy to see our PM in China making actual deals and opening up trade.
That's exactly why I am 99% sure that everything with Trump and the Republicans will eventually point back to China. That's who benefits from all the chaos, all the corruption.
Russia is a nice red herring, but China is using them and will discard them as soon as it is convenient.
This is exactly from a book of Sun Zu, sit back and watch your enemies fight with each other’s and you will win without shooting a single shot.
Do not interrupt your enemy while they are making a mistake
China supposedly now has a full copy of the Epstein files too.
How could they have obtained this?
hackers, they claim.
If that was true, why are they still saber rattling? Stupid dictators and bloodthirsty supporters lead to stupid wars, so I wouldn't count it out.
Look at Ukraine. Russia had already de facto annexed most of the land that they hold today. Ukraine wasn't willing to fight them to get it back. All of Russia's neighbors were too scared to join EU or NATO. Europe was dependent on Russian gas and vulnerable to Russian coercion.
Putin started the war anyways.
Four years later and hundreds of thousands of soldiers dead, and the economy is crashing. Ukraine is bombing the shit out of Russia and occupied Ukraine and trying to take it all back. Oligarchs are going poor/dying. NATO now has a much larger budget than the Russian military, arguably stronger than it ever was during the Cold War. Putin has no way out of this war, if he withdraws he probably ends up in the Hague.
If he had stopped after 2014, Putin could have kept everything, but he kept breaking the ceasefires and escalating.
Because it costs them nothing to saber rattle?
What they're doing is working, so they're going to keep doing it.
Military equipment is not cheap, nor is flying jets into Taiwanese airspace. Also if you keep telling the population that you're going to invade Taiwan, then they do kind of expect it to some extent, even if the PRC is not a democracy.
Finlandization does have some benefits for the PRC, but I would not rule out a stupid land invasion of Taiwan.
If China wasn't dealing with unknowns in their military due to corruption I think they definitely would. Still might.
You forget that Japan and Korea are invested in Taiwan's safety.
The US doesn't even formally recognized Taiwan. We were never going to enter a conventional war against a nuclear power for their sake.
*and actually now would be the worst time for them to invade. Trump is probably one of the only presidents dumb and chaotic enough to actually get into a conventional war with China. Along with Taiwan's relevance as 'the global chip factory' fading they'd be much better off waiting a few years.
**hello downvoters. general consensus among military wonks is that China would rinse the US if the US intervened in an invasion of ROC. You see how the Iran war is going? Now imagine if they had a much larger missile arsenal, ICBMs, hypersonic glide vehicles, and an actual air force. In-theater conventional war greatly favors China and the US does not have enough long range capability to change that without going nuclear which obviously precludes the whole thing to anyone sane.
Yes you are. Because they manufacture all of your microchips.
losing 60% of global microchip production (and dropping) or some Dongfeng-5Bs putting the US into the fallout universe timeline. It's not a great choice but it's a relatively easy one.