this post was submitted on 24 Jan 2024
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I can't remember where it was, but I was listening to an interview with a left-wing guy who worked for some sort of stock buying/trading company. He said his strategy was to just assume all the hype was bullshit and things were only going to get worse. Apparently he performed so much better than everyone else that his boss just assumed he was doing illegal insider-trading stuff.
Gary Stevenson became top trader in the world at one point by realising that capitalism is a shit show and betting on crisis after crisis. Has some good YouTube videos and I think it's publishing a book this year.
Never trust anything a stock guy says to the public. Have you seen the stock market since post-2020 crash? Absurd gains
he had already left the industry by the time of the interview, but fair. second hand anecdotes should be treated as amusing fiction at best
Many/most reputable places that do this kind of trading have fixed whole market exposure, either long only or long/short (and a lot are long/short). The idea being that since it's mathematically impossible for the average hedge fund to beat the market in the long term by much (tbf, less so since the rise of index funds), they should at least be able to provide returns that aren't correlated to the stock market, as any idiot can get correlated returns.
Besides, everyone knows that just because things are getting worse doesn't mean number won't go up - you'd typically trade on the belief that number go up in some more sophisticated way, perhaps by predicting what the fed will do to make sure number go up, or how the books will be cooked to make sure number go up.
This video?
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=ViY-zI3b5JQ
I think that's the guy, though I heard of him via interview in someone else's show. Can't remember which podcast it was.
trashfuture had a finance guy on who was kinda like that. just kept betting interest rates would stay low
I found a YouTube link in your comment. Here are links to the same video on alternative frontends that protect your privacy: