444
Polls keep showing that the democrats aren't going to do well in the next election, but every actual election they're over-performing.
I'm still nervous, and will continue to push and vote as if our lives depend on it, but... I can't help but be a little optimistic.
Nationwide Democrats have been beating polls by 9+ points since Roe v. Wade was overturned.
Over 4 years now. Either Big Media wants a horse race and are targeting polls or they no longer know how to poll accurately.
Polling in state-government races and special election has always been terrible because there isn’t the money to do good polling several times. +/-10 points is within the historical performance for these types of races. Stop looking for conspiracies everywhere.
I'd say your "horse race" theory is likely correct.
It creates unease and uncertainty which some people will tune in more for longer. It's all about the almighty engagement metrics
Polls had Hillary walking into the White House in 2016. They also anticipated a tight race in 2020 and Biden solidly beat Trump. It seems like polls aren’t very accurate anymore. Don’t forget to vote
It seems like polls aren’t very accurate anymore
They haven’t been a proper predictor since someone stole the presidential election.
He had a handy victory in total votes but his critical win electoral margins were low. Wisconsin .6% Arizona .3% Georgia .2%. He would have squeaked by with just Wisconsin but those are some tight races all under 1%.
As far as who won the election it was a tight race. As far as total votes it wasn't a tight race.
Couldn’t be prouder of my fellow Alabamians. Granted, you wouldn’t be out to lunch if you said that Monica Lands would have had any chance whatsoever in the areas surrounding Huntsville and Madison, but it’s pretty awesome that she won.
The local races perhaps make more of a difference than national races. I think Michigan combating gerrymandering has brought it to this point and Michigan will be more consistently blue going forward. Even if you don't like the candidates, make sure to vote to approve ballot measures like those that combat gerrymandering.
Ballot initiatives are crushing it in Michigan lately. Ending gerrymandering, legalizing weed, protecting reproductive rights, and improving elections have all passed through ballot initiatives in the past few years. Direct democracy works. I feel for people in states that don’t have that option (cough Indiana). I feel like we might be starting to see Michigan emerge as the anti-Florida
Here in Ohio the GOP led legislature just ignores the antigerrymandering measures passed. The state Supreme Court struck down their district maps. The federal Supreme Court sides with the GOP
Don't give up yet! There should be an additional ballot measure that removes the politicians entirely from the map drawing process this fall!
That's rough. A ballot measure is one tool in the fight which will gain effectiveness when it's backed up by other efforts. At the very least, the corruption is on record.
this post was submitted on 17 Apr 2024
444 points (99.6% liked)
News
22488 readers
3954 users here now
Welcome to the News community!
Rules:
1. Be civil
Attack the argument, not the person. No racism/sexism/bigotry. Good faith argumentation only. This includes accusing another user of being a bot or paid actor. Trolling is uncivil and is grounds for removal and/or a community ban.
2. All posts should contain a source (url) that is as reliable and unbiased as possible and must only contain one link.
Obvious right or left wing sources will be removed at the mods discretion. We have an actively updated blocklist, which you can see here: https://lemmy.world/post/2246130 if you feel like any website is missing, contact the mods. Supporting links can be added in comments or posted seperately but not to the post body.
3. No bots, spam or self-promotion.
Only approved bots, which follow the guidelines for bots set by the instance, are allowed.
4. Post titles should be the same as the article used as source.
Posts which titles don’t match the source won’t be removed, but the autoMod will notify you, and if your title misrepresents the original article, the post will be deleted. If the site changed their headline, the bot might still contact you, just ignore it, we won’t delete your post.
5. Only recent news is allowed.
Posts must be news from the most recent 30 days.
6. All posts must be news articles.
No opinion pieces, Listicles, editorials or celebrity gossip is allowed. All posts will be judged on a case-by-case basis.
7. No duplicate posts.
If a source you used was already posted by someone else, the autoMod will leave a message. Please remove your post if the autoMod is correct. If the post that matches your post is very old, we refer you to rule 5.
8. Misinformation is prohibited.
Misinformation / propaganda is strictly prohibited. Any comment or post containing or linking to misinformation will be removed. If you feel that your post has been removed in error, credible sources must be provided.
9. No link shorteners.
The auto mod will contact you if a link shortener is detected, please delete your post if they are right.
10. Don't copy entire article in your post body
For copyright reasons, you are not allowed to copy an entire article into your post body. This is an instance wide rule, that is strictly enforced in this community.
founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS