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Image is of the damage caused by an Iranian Kheibar Shekan ballistic missile in Israel, causing dozens of injuries.


Now in our second week of the conflict, we have seen continuing damage to both Israel and Iran, as well as direct US intervention which nonetheless seems to have caused limited damage to Fordow and little damage to Iran's nuclear program. Regime change seems more elusive than ever, as even Iranians previously critical of the government now rally around it as they are attacked by two rabid imperialists at once. And Iran's government is tentatively considering a withdrawal, or at minimum a reconsideration, of their membership to the IAEA and the NPT. And, of course, the Strait of Hormuz is still a tool in their arsenal.

A day or so on from the strike on Fordow, we have so far seen basically no change in strategy from the Iranian military as they continue to strike Israel with small barrages of missiles. Military analysts argue furiously - is this a deliberate strategy of steady attrition on Israel, or indicative of immense material constraints on Iran? Are the hits by Israel on real targets, or are they decoys? Does Iran wish to develop a nuke, or are they still hesitating? Will Iran and Yemen strike at US warships and bases in response to the attack, or will they merely continue striking only Israel?

And perhaps most importantly - will this conflict end diplomatically due to a lack of appetite for an extended war (to wit: not a peace but a 20 year armistice) or with Israel forced into major concessions including an end to their genocide? Or even with a total military/societal collapse of either side?


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] ClathrateG@hexbear.net 50 points 18 hours ago* (last edited 18 hours ago) (2 children)
[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 33 points 17 hours ago* (last edited 17 hours ago) (2 children)

neither knew nor met him

Yeah ok but that's not what I'm worried about. Her parents were brought up by him and it's hard to imagine that at least some of his supremacist views weren't passed on. Just look at the granddaughter of Mussolini.

[–] ClathrateG@hexbear.net 25 points 17 hours ago* (last edited 17 hours ago) (1 children)

Remind me of Chrystia Freeland who doesn't denounce her nazi grandfather

[–] Self_Sealing_Stem_Bolt@hexbear.net 19 points 17 hours ago (2 children)

Did you mean to say she never denounced him? Cause she refuses to

[–] Z_Poster365@hexbear.net 18 points 17 hours ago

also, why not err on the side of caution and have leadership who have no affiliation with nazis whatsoever? There's enough people in this world we don't need to even take the risk. There's a reason the West (and especially Ukrainians, as seen here) are constantly promoting nazi-adjacent people, and it's not because they want to "distance themselves" from nazism - quite the opposite. They are playing footsies and winking.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 39 points 18 hours ago

Constitutional Court halts investigation against President Petro - Prensa Latina

Article

Bogota, Jun 27 (Prensa Latina) The Constitutional Court of Colombia halted the investigation carried out by the National Electoral Council (CNE) against President Gustavo Petro, for alleged irregularities in the financing of his campaign, according to the national press.

The CNE is not competent to investigate President Petro, the court ruled in response to a tutelary action filed by the head of state himself, who alleged that the process was not being duly respected.

According to the Court's decision, the CNE must deliver a copy of all the investigative actions to the House of Representatives, which is the competent instance to judge the president.

The case started in 2024, when the CNE opened an investigation against Petro, who allegedly exceeded the spending limits established during the electoral campaign that led him to the presidency in 2022.

Analysts in the South American nation attach great importance to what they consider a political victory of Petro over right-wing sectors that promote actions to destabilize the government and prevent it from making progress in the implementation of its social projects.

Another W for Petro?

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 41 points 19 hours ago (1 children)

Brazil is negotiating with Russia over floating nuclear power plants for the Amazon The government is evaluating a proposal from Russian state-owned Rosatom to install small reactors in the northern region and strengthen its alliance with Moscow. According to Rosatom's director for Latin America, Ivan Dibov, the state-owned company intends to expand its partnership with Brazil, which began in March with the joint exploration of uranium at the Caetité mine in Bahia. “We are very interested in expanding our cooperation,” said the executive.

Rosatom is one of the world's leading companies in the nuclear sector, with around US$ 100 billion in external revenues by 2024 - 20% coming from countries considered to be Russia's adversaries in the context of the Ukraine war, such as the United States. The state-owned company is a pioneer in the production of small modular reactors, known as SMRs (Small Modular Reactors), which have a capacity of between 10% and 50% of traditional plants, but with the advantage of taking up less space.

In May, during a visit to Russia, President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Workers' Party) had already signaled Brazil's interest in expanding the partnership in the energy sector. "We are interested in discussing the energy sector in particular. We are very interested in establishing a relationship with Russia on small nuclear power plants," said Lula at the opening of a bilateral meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow.

According to the Russian company, the Amazon region could be home to up to 12 reactors by 2035, with a generating capacity of 0.6 GW. Another ten floating reactors would be installed off the coast of the Northeast, increasing the supply by 0.5 GW. Together, these projects would represent around half of the current installed capacity of the Brazilian nuclear matrix.

The nuclear sector has experienced a renaissance since the Fukushima disaster in 2011. Last week, the World Bank lifted its veto on funding for nuclear projects, including modular reactors, like the ones Brazil is now considering taking to the Amazon.

  • Telegram
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[–] grandepequeno@hexbear.net 46 points 19 hours ago* (last edited 19 hours ago)

Does anyone here know the Iranian born western academic Vali Nasr? He wrote "The Shia Revival" a while back and also a book titled "The Rise of Islamic Capitalism: Why the New Muslim Middle Class Is the Key to Defeating Extremism" (just so you know where he stands).

Anyway he put out a book written right before the Assad government fell called "Iran's Grand Strategy: A Political History", it's what it says on the tin. I think for anyone confused about why the fuck Iran does what it does and what its leaders think, usually in their own terms and not the author's, this is a good read.

But before reading just listen to that episode of citations-needed about the terms "proxy" and "backed" because the author views Iran's "Forward Defense" strategy of supporting these organizations as reprehensible, while no doubt he would not say the same about whatever NGOs the US literally funds. Despite that, it's not too axe-grindish a read I think he did a good job of relaying what the hardliners and reformists believe and why, and any sensible reader will read this and note how in plenty of matters the hardliners are correct.

There's lots of good stuff about Khamenei too, like how he was influenced by new left theories of anti-imperialism and dependency theory. Also explains why Iran for a long time (and even until today) is very reluctant to join a Russia-China axis (the iranian foreign minister literally has "neither east nor west" on its entrance)

At the end he puts out a warning to the regime that basically there's a chasm forming between its commitment to its strategies for resisting the united states as a means of becoming a regional power and the wishes of many iranians to adopt a more """""pragmatic""""" approach (like nuclear negotiations). This was obviously all before the recent missile lobbing war so I hope that chasm as been reduced in favor of the regime.

It's on the audiobook torrent site too

EDIT: Found the guy's twitter and he seems to understand that Iran is not just going to return to the negotiating table after one happens, and it may have only hardened Khamenei's already incredibly hard will to resist the US

[–] Frogmanfromlake@hexbear.net 40 points 19 hours ago (1 children)

Like how NATO rolled out a Ukranian citizen for sympathy points as they beg Trump for more weapons.

[–] Torenico@hexbear.net 27 points 17 hours ago

hello trump, its zelenskyy. we need five billion rockets to bomb donetsk children. slava u crane

[–] OnceUponATimeInWeHo@hexbear.net 50 points 20 hours ago (1 children)

“An army from a people, and a people who are all an army. The descendants of the Ansar today renew their honorable presence with the greatest values ​​of courage, generosity, and loyalty to God's messengers and religion. They congratulate the Iranian people on a victory that strengthens their steadfastness with Gaza. Million-man march: "Blessed be Iran's victory... and steadfast with Gaza until victory." #Sanaa #Sabaeen_Square”

http://t.me/army21ye

[–] Dessa@hexbear.net 6 points 13 hours ago (1 children)

How are they able to assemble such massive crowds like every day?

[–] OnceUponATimeInWeHo@hexbear.net 6 points 13 hours ago* (last edited 13 hours ago)

It’s a society that takes the Palestinian genocide and the Zionist entity at face value, and treat it as the threat to humanity that it is. Shia Islam plays a role

[–] seaposting@hexbear.net 63 points 21 hours ago (1 children)

I find it funny how some Malaysian states banned the use of single-use plastics years ago and are planning to phase-out use nationally by 2030 but we continued to accept Western plastic waste.

Malaysia will stop accepting U.S. plastic waste, creating a dilemma for California

Malaysia will ban plastic waste imports from the U.S. starting Tuesday because of America’s failure to abide by the Basel Convention treaty on international waste transfers, in a move that could have significant consequences for California.

Malaysia emerged as a major destination for U.S. waste after China banned American waste imports in 2018. California shipped 864 shipping containers, or more than 10 million pounds of plastic waste, to Malaysia in 2024, according to the Basel Action Network, an advocacy group. That was second only to Georgia among U.S. states.

Malaysia to set stricter plastic import controls

According to U.S. Census Bureau data, the country exported 35,316 tons of plastic scrap to Malaysia in 2024. United Nations Comtrade data shows that from 2021-2024, Malaysia received more plastic scrap imports from around the globe than any other non-OECD (Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development) country.

“Our people and environment in Malaysia have suffered greatly from the pollution caused by imported plastic and electronic waste,” says Wong Pui Yi, BAN researcher from Kuala Lumpur. “Other countries in Southeast Asia are likewise being harmed by foreign plastic waste daily. We sincerely hope that exporting countries will help us put a stop to waste dumping and trafficking.

“But for these new regulations to be successful, the government must enforce them transparently, swiftly prosecute those who violate the law and close any loopholes that may arise, including clamping down on corruption. We must remain vigilant and continue to spot-check the system with intelligence-led searches and seizures.”

[–] MrPiss@hexbear.net 15 points 17 hours ago

Exporting garbage to other countries is such a weird and sickening thing. It's also adds more waste and pollution to this consumerist society because we can't throw away our own trash and need to ship it half way around the world for it to be someone else's problem.

[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 65 points 22 hours ago (1 children)

Supreme Court backs parents seeking to opt their kids out of LGBTQ books in elementary schools

The Supreme Court on Friday bolstered religious rights as it ruled in favor of parents who objected to LGBTQ-themed books that a Maryland county approved for use in elementary school classrooms.

In a 6-3 vote, the court backed the parents' claim that the Montgomery County Board of Education's decision not to allow an opt-out for their children violated their religious rights under the Constitution's First Amendment, which protects religious expression.

"The board's introduction of the 'LGBTQ+ inclusive' storybooks, along with its decision to withhold opt-outs, places an unconstitutional burden on the parents' rights to the free exercise of their religion," Justice Samuel Alito wrote for the court.

The Supreme Court has a 6-3 conservative majority that is often receptive to religious claims. The liberal justices dissented.

So this means my kid doesn't have to get flunked in history class when they teach "sTaLiN sTaRvEd tHe uKrAinIAns!!!" in class, right?

I assume this mean evangelical nuts like my parents will be allowed to pull their kids out of class when the topic of evolution or geology comes up, god bless America.

[–] Azarova@hexbear.net 7 points 13 hours ago (1 children)

I would not be surprised if school districts decide not to deal with the hassle of having hundreds or thousands of parents opt their children out, and instead just decide to chuck out every mention of queer people from their libraries and curriculums.

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[–] carpoftruth@hexbear.net 70 points 22 hours ago* (last edited 22 hours ago) (1 children)

Haaretz article on the horrifying killings of unarmed civilians at the joint Israeli-American "aid distribution" locations in Gaza. Content warning for descriptions of brutal violence

https://archive.ph/ilyEU

This is what defenders of Israel are defending

[–] iie@hexbear.net 32 points 22 hours ago* (last edited 22 hours ago) (1 children)

[…] He also said the activity in his area of service is referred to as Operation Salted Fish – the name of the Israeli version of the children's game "Red light, green light".

It’s a game to them

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[–] BigBoyKarlLiebknecht@hexbear.net 57 points 22 hours ago (6 children)

CW: Nazi shit

MI6 distances its new chief from Nazi grandfather

yea

I like how MI6 try to make it sound that having a muderous Nazi grandfather is a good thing and an example of diversity in action, actually:

A spokesperson added: "Blaise's ancestry is characterised by conflict and division and, as is the case for many with eastern European heritage, only partially understood.

"It is precisely this complex heritage which has contributed to her commitment to prevent conflict and protect the British public from modern threats from today's hostile states, as the next chief of MI6."

The Daily Mail, which first revealed the family link, reports that it found hundreds of pages of documents in an archive in Freiburg, Germany, which showed Mr Dobrowolski was known as "The Butcher" or "Agent No 30" by Wehrmacht commanders. He reportedly signed off letters to his Nazi superiors with "Heil Hitler" and said he "personally" took part in "the extermination of the Jews".

[–] Fishroot@hexbear.net 6 points 13 hours ago

Meritocracy is dead.

people don't do nazi shit themselves to land the job, now they just piggyride their parents' CV to get the job

[–] SoyViking@hexbear.net 47 points 22 hours ago (3 children)

Someone has Nazi ancestors and has no problem distancing themselves unconditionally from them: Good, no problem.

Someone has Nazi ancestry and will give you a song and dance about how complex it all is: barbara-pit

There's nothing morally complex about Nazis.

[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 40 points 22 hours ago

This is the issue with Freeland in Canada. She has as Nazi war criminal grandfather, but she talks about how much she looks up to him and said he helped form her political understanding.

[–] Ram_The_Manparts@hexbear.net 35 points 21 hours ago

My grandfather was a nazi, I'm glad I never even met the guy and I hope he's burning in hell.

See how easy it is?

[–] Flaps@hexbear.net 24 points 20 hours ago* (last edited 20 hours ago)

I once drank shots in vienna with some local dudes to the death of their grandfathers, who were ss officers

[–] NephewAlphaBravo@hexbear.net 18 points 19 hours ago

I'm not one to care about the sins of the father but at this point you're obviously picking these people because of their pedigree

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 47 points 23 hours ago (2 children)

Supreme Court curbs injunctions that blocked Trump's birthright citizenship plan - NBC News

The Trump administration wants to end automatic birthright citizenship as enshrined in the Constitution’s 14th Amendment.

WASHINGTON — The Supreme Court on Friday handed a major win to the Trump administration by allowing it to take steps to implement its proposal to end automatic birthright citizenship.

In a 6-3 vote, the court granted a request by the Trump administration to narrow the scope of nationwide injunctions imposed by judges so that they apply only to states, groups and individuals that sued. That means the birthright citizenship proposal can likely move forward at least in part in the states that challenged it as well as those that did not. The court was divided on ideological lines, with conservatives in the majority and liberals in dissent.

"When a court concludes that the executive branch has acted unlawfully, the answer is not for the court to exceed its power, too," Justice Amy Coney Barrett wrote for the majority. But she indicated that the nationwide injunctions are limited "only to the extent that the injunctions are broader than necessary." Lower courts, she added "shall move expeditiously" to figure out how broad the injunctions can be.

The court also said that the administration can continue working administratively on how the policy would be implemented. Liberal Justice Sonia Sotomayor read a summary of her dissent from the bench in the courtroom, saying the ruling was a "travesty for the rule of the law" and an "open invitation to bypass the constitution."

Federal courts "will be hamstrung" when it comes to nationwide injunctions but she urged potential plaintiffs to immediately file class action lawsuits, a legal avenue the court left open. In a separate dissenting opinion, Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson wrote that the decision was “an existential threat to the rule of law.”

The policy remains blocked for now in one additional state, New Hampshire, as a result of a separate lawsuit that is not before the Supreme Court. As a result of the ruling, the proposal can potentially move forward nationwide, although individual plaintiffs could still file their own lawsuits in those states and the current challengers can still move to reinstate injunctions that are less broad in scope. Trump's original executive order said the plan would go into effect after 30 days, but it was almost immediately blocked.

The decision does not address the legal merits of the plan, but only whether judges had the authority to put it on hold across the entire country. President Donald Trump and his MAGA allies have been harshly critical of judges who have blocked aspects of his agenda, although it is not a new phenomenon for courts to impose nationwide injunctions.

It has long been widely accepted, including by legal scholars on left and right, that the Constitution’s 14th Amendment confers automatic citizenship to almost anyone born in the United States.

“All persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States,” the amendment says. Based on historical practice, the only exception is people who are the children of diplomats. Trump wants to adopt a completely new meaning of the language that would confer citizenship only on those who have at least one parent who is a U.S. citizen or permanent resident.

Trump’s executive order, issued on his first day in office in January, was immediately challenged, and every court that has ruled on the proposal so far has blocked it. At issue at the Supreme Court were cases filed in Maryland, Massachusetts and Washington state. In court papers, former acting Solicitor General Sarah Harris said judges did not have the authority to issue nationwide injunctions and that the states that sued did not have legal standing.

The Trump plan has the backing of 21 other states. The administration has complained bitterly as judges have issued nationwide injunctions in response to Trump’s bold and aggressive use of executive power to implement his contentious agenda, which has included ramping up deportations, downsizing federal agencies, targeting law firms and universities, and firing thousands of federal employees.

Justice Department officials say there have been dozens such rulings and have described them as being an unconstitutional attack on the president’s authority. Previous administrations, both Republican and Democratic, have also had their agenda’s threatened by nationwide injunctions, although they have become more commonplace in recent years.

[–] DogThatWentGorp@hexbear.net 20 points 20 hours ago

Thanks for nothing Dems! Real glad RBG's racist, tumor-ridden ass got those last couple of years in!!!!!!!

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[–] Bearlifter@hexbear.net 44 points 23 hours ago (1 children)

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme-court/supreme-court-curbs-injunctions-blocked-trumps-birthright-citizenship-rcna199742

In a 6-3 vote, the court granted a request by the Trump administration to narrow the scope of nationwide injunctions imposed by judges so that they apply only to states, groups and individuals that sued. That means the birthright citizenship proposal can likely move forward at least in part in the states that challenged it as well as those that did not.

[–] MrPiss@hexbear.net 14 points 17 hours ago (1 children)

We all know that the US constitution is essentially toilet paper and what matters is state power but I'm shocked that they'd do this. Birthright citizenship is a big deal and a foundational right for this shithole country. It's one of the few good things that helps sell the American dream and they're trying to throw it out. The Supreme Court can really just ignore things written in plain English if they want. Like they shouldn't even have to hear a case to rule it unconstitutional and instead they're allowing it to partially go ahead in this weird bureaucratic way.

[–] WrongOnTheInternet@hexbear.net 6 points 13 hours ago

The even more significant measure is limiting the ability of courts to make injunctions

[–] JohnBrownsBussy2@hexbear.net 70 points 1 day ago (2 children)
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