this post was submitted on 14 Feb 2026
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electoralism

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πŸ—³οΈ POLL | Reform lead by 11pts

➑️ Ref: 30% (+2) πŸ”΅ Con: 19% (-1) πŸ”΄ Lab: 17% (-2) 🟒 Grn: 15% (+2) 🟠 Lib: 14% (-1)

-- Seats -- ➑️ Ref: 361 🟠 Lib: 84 🟒 Grn: 54 πŸ”΅ Con: 47 🟑 SNP: 44 πŸ”΄ Lab: 33

Poll: @TechneUK , 13 Feb (+/- vs 16 Jan)

https://x.com/LeftieStats/status/2022355125688295757

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[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 34 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Nothing in the UK matters until an election is called. The Tories were supposed to gain seats under Theresa May and she very nearly lost the election to Corbyn.

[–] godisidog@hexbear.net 24 points 4 days ago

For real, polling this far out is a reflection of general vibes - in this case a real frustration with the establishment parties - but the numbers don’t really matter.

[–] Thordros@hexbear.net 32 points 4 days ago

You're REEEEEEALLY going to have to narrow it down a bit. The TERF Island Hitler Party could be practically any of them!

[–] towhee@hexbear.net 30 points 4 days ago

I think those labour seats can go lower. There is room to wipe out the party completely. Do it.

[–] PunkMonk@lemmygrad.ml 18 points 4 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

Capitalism is in decay, and the party which were supposed to be the social democratic workers party - Labour - have been mask off, right-wing capitalists. Meanwhile, the billionaires are preventing class consciousness from developing by funding the anti-immgration nonsense.

Under these conditions, of course Reform will do well however, no matter how much they try, people in the UK are seeing the western capitalism system in more and more of a negative lens thanks to all of the scandals the past few years, particularly the Epstein files, all of the failures of neoliberalism and austerity, the NHS being left to rot, kids starving, the rise of China proving socialism still can succeed, the Palestinian genocide which we were aiding Israel in doing, and much more.

Labour and the Tories will very likely remain unpopular, Reform I can't see getting much more popular, they'll probably retain about 30% of the votes. The LibDems will do quite well picking up those not woke enough for the Greens but not fascist enough for Reform. And the Greens, who are not just the environmentalists party but are becoming under new leadership, a leftist populist party, are not to be underestimated. I wouldn't bet my life on them winning but I can see it happening even though currently it seems so unlikely to most.

[–] SkingradGuard@hexbear.net 24 points 4 days ago

Western country is fascist? Colour me surprised

[–] CliffordBigRedDog@hexbear.net 20 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Lol the greens becoming the 3rd biggest party

[–] muad_dibber@lemmygrad.ml 1 points 2 days ago

Are the UK greens decent?

[–] aanes_appreciator@hexbear.net 8 points 3 days ago (1 children)

"your party" not even being added to polls anymore because the moment corbyns "hypothetical party" became real it sank like a bowl full of rocks and wet sick.

[–] SpookyBogMonster@lemmy.ml 2 points 3 days ago (1 children)

I don't claim to know much about that soggy island's politics, but I'm going to assume a not insignificant part of that, is due to "your party" being an absolutely fucking dogshit name

That certainly helped lmao

[–] Assian_Candor@hexbear.net 22 points 4 days ago (1 children)

The whites are NOT OK

This is gonna end badly

[–] Doubledee@hexbear.net 19 points 4 days ago (1 children)

I knew Starver was fumbling but I didn't realize Labour was eating shit this bad. I mean polls aren't ironclad but boy they sure are flailing over on Nonce Island.

[–] Snort_Owl@hexbear.net 24 points 4 days ago (1 children)

It’s been policy failure after policy failure because he’s trying to be the conservative party in a time where everyone was sick of the conservatives. It was basically the only opportunity for Labour to actually do something and shift the tide of UK politics but he’s such a disgusting little neoliberal bellend he couldn’t even do one useful thing.

[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 16 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (1 children)

he’s trying to be the conservative party in a time where everyone was sick of the conservatives

On the positive side, that is also what Reform will be. Things could swing very quickly against Nigel without something sincerely different.

[–] Snort_Owl@hexbear.net 15 points 4 days ago (1 children)

I don’t think he has the nards the do anything drastic but it aint gonna be a fun period either way. Or it will be a roaring success if he reverses the porn block and we’ll be a reform country for the next 100 years while starmer added another 1000 years of fuel to the β€œat least theyre not labour” fire

[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 15 points 4 days ago (1 children)

He's gonna do absolutely insane shit and it's going to cause a national meltdown. He will sincerely move to implement an insurance based healthcare system claiming the one we have is now well past failure and his voters will be unbelievably PISSED and feel lied to.

If he does nothing they'll be pissed, if he does something they'll also be pissed. There isn't a winning move.

[–] SkingradGuard@hexbear.net 5 points 4 days ago

My biggest concern is they'll start emboldening fascist death squads and start exterminating foreigners.

[–] ashestoashes@lemmygrad.ml 3 points 2 days ago

Wow, the thing everyone saw coming from a mile away is happening

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 18 points 4 days ago

FPTP is such shit.

[–] Drewfro66@lemmygrad.ml 4 points 3 days ago

After Farage, Our Turn

[–] MaoTheLawn@hexbear.net 10 points 4 days ago

Ain't no way this is anywhere near accurate

not sure what the methodology was for this but I would assume it was not solid

[–] bloopything@hexbear.net 8 points 4 days ago
[–] plinky@hexbear.net 7 points 4 days ago

Labradors could always stop splitting the vote smh

[–] moss_icon@hexbear.net 5 points 4 days ago

This seems off to me. No way Lib Dems will get the second most amount of seats.

[–] SubgeniUS@hexbear.net 6 points 4 days ago

Sounds underestimated. The us is after all based on this hate.

[–] kleeon@hexbear.net 5 points 4 days ago

As long as labour gets owned, I'm happy