this post was submitted on 21 Jul 2026
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OpenAI wants you to believe that by 2030, it’ll be raking in $100 billion a year just from ads alone - even though it’s currently struggling to reach just $1 billion.

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[–] StillAlive@piefed.world 88 points 2 days ago (2 children)

90% isn't 'falling short'. It's 'barely starting'.

[–] rimu@piefed.social 44 points 2 days ago

It's "get a new business model"

[–] Tollana1234567@lemmy.today 8 points 2 days ago

these AI companies are looking for the suckers and loser retailers and other industry to hold the bag.

[–] Jaysyn@lemmy.world 32 points 2 days ago (4 children)

Good. Die faster and take Oracle with you.

[–] OS2Warp@lemmy.zip 2 points 17 hours ago

One Rich Asshole Called Larry Ellison

[–] Tollana1234567@lemmy.today 2 points 1 day ago

and thiel, thiel brought sam out of obscurity, and likely used his Ai for his own.

[–] SupraMario@lemmy.world 13 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Oracle might go first, their credit rating was downgraded again to BBB-. So banks are even less likely to loan anything to them

[–] BarneyPiccolo@lemmy.today 6 points 1 day ago (1 children)

The Ellison's don't care, they've already fished that pond empty. They're in the propaganda business now.

[–] GamingChairModel@lemmy.world 5 points 1 day ago (1 children)

They can't close on the Warner deal yet (court ordered the deal be paused for 28 days to consider blocking it), and if the courts hold up the merger for a few months, and Oracle stock plummets based on their bad investments, the Ellisons' personal guarantee on the purchase price might not be enough to actually complete the merger.

I don't think it's very likely, but I can dream, at least for now.

[–] BarneyPiccolo@lemmy.today 2 points 19 hours ago

Thanks for the clarification!

🤞🏽

(Hey! Where are my Caucasian emojis?)

[–] boaratio@lemmy.world 9 points 2 days ago

I want to punch both Larry Ellison and Sam Altman in the face so bad. Clearly neither of them have ever been punched in the face, and their time is due.

[–] adarza@lemmy.ca 31 points 2 days ago (2 children)

nearing 1 of 100 is 99% short, is it not?

[–] rimu@piefed.social 27 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

The 100 bn is "by 2030". I guess their interim target for this year is much less than 100. Maybe the target is $10 billion and they achieved $1 billion.

[–] Hegar@fedia.io 18 points 2 days ago

Yeah this whole thing is missing some crucial information.

The paragraph quoted in the post makes it sound like they are near $1b in revenue but i think they're just speaking rhetorically, "you want 100? You can't even get 1!"

In 2026, Emarketer projects that the combination of OpenAI, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon will bring in under $1 billion in ad revenue. For context, OpenAI had projected that its AI ad revenue alone would hit $2.5 billion by the end of this year.

This makes it sound like openai is projected to make $250m this year, if they're 90% short of revenue projections for this year. That's a full 25% of the $1b total ad revenue that OpenAI, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon make combined. Which is reasonable, but it does make their projections seem absolutely farcical. At least to me, but i don't know finances.

It would be good to check rhe original analysis the article cites but it's paywalled and begins with the same misleading comparison of 2030 to now.

[–] TomMasz@piefed.social 11 points 2 days ago

For most companies, this would be a fireable offense. But that's yesterday's thinking.

[–] Trampampoline@sh.itjust.works 16 points 2 days ago
[–] yakko@feddit.uk 12 points 2 days ago

Tangentially, is there a single picture of Altman that doesn't instantly read as "insane sack of shit"?

[–] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world 19 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)
[–] Buddahriffic@lemmy.world 5 points 1 day ago

The whole idea of ads being added to AI chatbots make them seem even more useless and unreliable to me. They already predict shit that can be called "outright lie" without adding even more lies in the form of advertisements.

Especially where they are being used for productivity, which kinda reeks of them eventually charging even more so that your email summary doesn't include a blurb about whether you should crave the same brawno that plants do (unless it's there because the AI used to write the email was the one that inserted the ad) or to prevent your vibecoded mess from getting stuck in a taco bell-sponsored spam loop.

[–] Tempus_Fugit@lemmy.world 16 points 2 days ago (1 children)

You love to see it. Bravo Scam Altman, bravo.

[–] inari@piefed.zip 7 points 2 days ago

I read this in Ed Zitron's voice

[–] melsaskca@lemmy.ca 9 points 2 days ago

When growing up, if people needed or wanted a new product that was offered, they would purchase it. Nowadays it is forced upon you.

[–] Tollana1234567@lemmy.today 12 points 2 days ago (1 children)

a ponzi scheme worst than the crypto one.

[–] grue@lemmy.world 4 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Between Altman and Bankman-Fried, these scammers are giving Sams a bad name.

[–] Alk@sh.itjust.works 1 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Name a good Sam to balance it out

[–] StillAlive@piefed.world 2 points 1 day ago

Samuel L. Motherfucking Jackson

[–] logi@lemmy.world 2 points 1 day ago

Sam Neil 😢

[–] prole@lemmy.blahaj.zone 7 points 2 days ago

This would get you blacklisted in any other industry

[–] supersquirrel@sopuli.xyz 1 points 2 days ago

Burn baby burn!

[–] architect@thelemmy.club -1 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

They haven’t turned ads fully on yet lol. They just want you to click and think you’re winning.