junebug2

joined 3 years ago
[–] junebug2@hexbear.net 19 points 2 days ago

Air ForceAdvanced Battle Management System (ABMS): The only component of this system that has done operational tests is the Cloud-Based Command and Control (CBC2). In theory, this system contains the CBC2 plus distributed battle management nodes, digital infrastructure, and aerial networking. The contractor for the cloud thing is Science Applications International Corporation, Inc. This is an IT company from Virginia, with a notable pivot when Obama appointed their president of engineering as Secretary of the Air Force in 2013. The software has completed 5 minimum viability capability releases, but the sixth was delayed for software immaturity in 2024 or 2025. Personally, i hope as much decision making is integrated with the cloud as possible.

Air Operations Center - Weapon System (AOC-WS): A system of systems that uses third party, commercial, and agile software. It’s coordination software for all the different streams of data coming into a command. There are two versions: the AN/USQ-163 Falconer, called Increment 10.1 and currently fielded, and Block 20, which is an upgrade including the “Kessel Run All-Domain Operations Suite (KRADOS)” and AppTX. A respectable military in a civilized country would have court martials just for how awful some of these names are. The first one (Falconer/ Increment 10.1) has been in the field since 2012. There are apparently regular Agile releases for the Falconer, and it seems like “KRADOS” is either still in testing or fielded in limited numbers. The Air Force claims Block 20 is not sufficiently mature for operational testing. The contractors are Raytheon and my new favorite, Science Applications International Corporation, Inc.

B-52 Radar Modernization Program: Swapping legacy radars for the AN/APQ-188, which is used on the F/A-18 and F-15E/EX. Integrated testing is supposed to happen this year, with the testing expected to be done by 2028. 28 aircraft are being fitted in FY26, and the plans for the remaining 46 will follow testing results in FY28. The contractors are Boeing and Raytheon. Shockingly, there have been technical delays on a Boeing project. Also, the cybersecurity testing needs more work.

F-15 Eagle Passive Active Warning and Survivability System (EPAWSS): A system of of warning radars and counter measures, this upgrade is necessary for Air Force plans to use the F-15EX as an air superiority fighter. This has been tested and brought into full production as of 2024, with plans to retrofit all F-15EXs and 99 F-15Es. DOT&E notes that while the system has performed well in testing, the testing environment did not represent modern threats. There are many concerns about how well the system would perform against electromagnetic attacks, with significant discrepancies between ground and air performance. The contractors are Boeing and BAE Systems.

F-16 Radar Modernization Program: Replacing legacy radars with the APG-83 SABR. This finished testing at the end of FY23, and full production was approved. There are some concerns about the APG-83 interfacing with the legacy systems in the F-16 mission control computers, network architecture, and data system. The contractor is Northrop Grumman.

GPS: This one might be worth reading in its entirety. Warning for .mil link. The specific issue seems to be delays in developing a new control system for military code and civilian signals. This has been in the works since 2010, and if there were no further delays it would be implemented between 4QFY25 and 1QFY26. The new receivers have also been delayed. The satellites seem to be doing alright though. There are several contractors working on different aspects of this.

Space Command and Control System: Frankly, more cope about using hybrid cloud computing. No operationally relevant data has been produced from tests, no operational test objectives have been completed, and the project has been continually delayed since it started in 2019. The contractors are Parsons Corporation, Omitron Inc, Tecolote Research Inc, Systems Planning and Analysis Inc, Boeing, General Dynamics, Lockheed Martin, Peraton Inc, Palantir, L3Harris, Leidos Inc, and ManTech.

Three-dimensional Expeditionary Long-Range Radar (3DELRR): A prospective radar for “long-range detection of both air-breathing threats and theater ballistic missiles”. It’s going to be a single faced, rotating active electronically scanned array. It is supposed to enable long range surveillance, command and control, and air traffic control. The contractor is Lockheed Martin. Testing was cancelled in 2024 for system deficiencies, though testing of a newer version should be happening now or just recently finished. Apparently this testing is done by dragging spheres with known radar cross-sections behind airplanes, which i find somewhat amusing.

The AircraftF-35 Joint Strike Fighter: The longest individual entry by far. The F-35A is the conventional take off version for the Air Force, the F-35B is the VTOL version for the Marines, and the F-35C is the carrier compatible version for the Navy and Marines. The Block 4 with avionics upgrades was approved for full production in March 2024. The TR-3 avionics components are part of what makes the Block 4 upgraded, and apparently no combat capable TR-3 aircraft have been delivered to US Services to date. In July 2024, the Air Force accepted the first 2 TR-3 Lot 15 F-35s, which were delayed because of the need to create a truncated form of the software on account of incomplete upgrades from TR-2 to TR-3. It is not known what combat capabilities these models are currently missing, and the integration of TR-2 capabilities is in the works. The contractors are Lockheed Martin and Pratt & Whitney. Many tests have been incomplete or inadequate because final versions of software were unavailable. They estimate that the TR-3 F-35s will be ready to go and finished with operational testing by no earlier than mid FY26. The tables in this one are very informative, warning again for .mil link. Logistics availability was something of a known problem for this jet. It appears that the F-35 has software troubles to the point that it isn’t clear how many jets delivered over the last eighteen months are fully combat capable.

F-15EX Eagle II: A version of the F-15 with fly-by-wire controls, digital helmet systems, a touch screen display, and an improved early warning/ counter measure system (discussed above). It also has 4 additional air to air weapons stations. i assume this means externally. Full production was approved in June 2024. Some but not all of these models have been cybersecurity tested. The contractors are Boeing, RTX, and General Electric. According to testing, it is capable of defensive and offensive counter-air operations against fifth generation adversaries.

F/A-18E/F Super Hornet and EA-18G Growler: The DOT&E would like you to know that they are not happy with the Navy constantly deciding some program is ‘good enough’ and then ghosting the remaining testing processes. The contractors are Boeing, Raytheon, GE Aerospace, Northrop Grumman, and Lockheed Martin. The Navy was performing a three part test and release program for upgrades, and it seems like they did proper operational testing for Release 1, and then just sort of did enough software and hardware upgrades to blow past Releases 2 and 3. For the Growler this is the same upgrade process as the jamming pods mentioned above. The Super Hornet was testing a new anti-ship missile. Release 3 for both planes has been in the field since September 2024.

E-2D Advanced Hawkeye: An airborne command and control platform that receives biennial hardware and software upgrades. Contains data links, electronic warfare equipment, and a phased array radar, amongst other things. The contractor is Northrop Grumman. Operational effectiveness and cyber survivability are classified. Reliability and logistics support are known issues.

CMV-22B Osprey: a vertical/ short takeoff and landing aircraft. i only include this one because it has lines like “Analysis of CMV-22B survivability to operationally relevant kinetic threats indicated that the aircraft has similar survivability as the legacy platforms and discovered no new nor unexpected vulnerabilities,” and “Navy testing did not uncover any new failure mechanisms.” i mean listen, sure, it fails sometimes, but at least it’s failing in the old predictable ways. Isn’t that reliability?

F-22A Raptor: Apparently the results are classified, but the DOT&E complaining about a lack of “Open-Air Battle Shaping” instrumentation on test aircraft is not.

[–] junebug2@hexbear.net 40 points 2 days ago (1 children)

i looked through the reports from the Director, Operational Test and Evaluation (DOT&E) that @WashedAnus posted, and this is a summary of what they had to say about notable equipment. When i say notable, i mean mostly radars, missiles, air defenses, and jets. It’s probably half projects that have been tested and approved, and half projects that have stalled or have no shot. Apologies for the length, the whole thing is over the character limit for one comment.

ArmyAN/APR-39E(V)2 Radar Warning Modernization (MRWR): An upgrade for army helicopter radars. The main contractor is Northrop Grumman. The testing results are all “yet to be analyzed”. Not currently in use.

Army Integrated Air and Missile Defense (AIAMD): integrated fire control network for Patriot radars, Patriot batteries, Sentinel radars, and engagement operations centers. The contractors are Northrop Grumman, Raytheon, and Lockheed Martin. Performance evaluations in 2024 were “unchanged from [the] classified March 2023 IOT&E report”. There are apparently delays and inconsistencies with Modeling and Simulation tools for the various sensors. Recommendations include completing deficiency corrections from 2023. Presently half vaporware.

Long Range Hypersonic Weapon (Dark Eagle): The Army’s hypersonic missile, with two AUR missiles per TEL, 4 TELs and a Battery Operations Center per battery. The missile was designed by the Navy, and the Army has not yet successfully fired it. In theory, these missiles will also be launched from Zumwalts (lmao) and Virginia-class submarines. They intend to have fielded an initial battery by 2027. The contractors are Lockheed Martin and Dynetics. The strategy for testing this missile is still being developed.

Mounted Assured Positioning, Navigation, and Timing System (MAPS): anti-jam antenna for vehicles in areas where GPS is degraded or denied. Seems like some classified deficiencies cropped up between 2022 and 2024, but those were fixed. IOT&E was completed two years ago, and this antenna has been fielded on at least some Strykers since “4QFY25”, which for the federal government means July-September 2025. The contractor is Collins Aerospace. Minor issues with troubleshooting and integration with other electronics exist, but the antennae are apparently operationally available 99% of the time.

Sentinel A4 Radar: Theoretically, a 3D X-band phased array radar. In practice, system immaturity, production delays, and a lack of funding and test resources mean that the tests and test timelines are not possible. Planning isn’t finalized. As of 6 months ago, this project didn’t seem to be moving much. The contractor is Lockheed Martin. In addition to the inability to actually get the radar, this system also has issues with Modeling and Simulation.

Directed Energy Maneuver-Short Range Air Defense (DE M-SHORAD): A “50-kilowatt spectral beam combined laser powered by lithium nickel cobalt aluminum oxide (Li-NCA) batteries” on a Stryker hull. These have apparently been deployed overseas since February 2024, and they are getting a drip feed of data from in theatre assessment. The contractors are Kord Technologies, RTX, and General Dynamics. The in theatre assessment is being performed by the Army without a test plan, and the DOT&E is not involved.

NavyAdvanced Anti-Radiation Guided Missile - Extended Range (AARGM-ER): a missile that uses a passive multi-mode seeker to guide towards radio frequencies before switching to active millimeter wave terminal radar. The upgrade over the AARGM is a larger diameter and shorter length so it can fit inside an F-35A or C, a new warhead, and a new rocket motor for (as you might have guessed) extended range. The contractor is Northrop Grumman. The only issues described are software related, which are hardly irrelevant but probably easier to solve. Should have been available for operational use starting 6 months ago or so.

Aegis Modernization Program: The Aegis Combat System consists of the legacy AN/SPY-1 radar, the AN/SPY-6(V)1 radar on Arleigh Burke Destroyers, a Phalanx Close-In Weapon System, a 5 inch gun, vertical launch system for Tomahawks, SM-2, SM-3, SM-6, and Evolved Sea Sparrow missiles, AN/SPQ-9B or SPS-67 surface search radar, AN/SLQ-32(V) electronic warfare suite, AN/SQQ-89(V)15 undersea warfare suite, and the hardware and software to integrate all of that stuff. It seems to me that the modernization program is bringing cruisers and destroyers that aren’t Flight 3 up to date with the Arleigh Burkes. There are some deficiencies in the anti-submarine suite. Interestingly, no mention of Aegis Ashore. The contractors are Lockheed Martin and Raytheon.

Air and Missile Defense Radar (AN/SPY-6(V)1): an S-band radar made up of radar modular assemblies. The RMAs are self-contained digital transmit/ receive modules. The version here (the one on Arleigh Burkes) has 4 fixed antenna assemblies made up of 37 RMAs each, for 360 degree coverage. There are several variants that use fewer modules and cover different angles. The DOT&E thinks the testing done so far has been inadequate, but i think this might be an interagency responsibility feud more than a testing failure.

Next Generation Jammer Mid-Band (NGJ-MB): Two pods containing active electronically scanned arrays mounted under the wings of the EA-18 Growler. This version has more power and longer range then the jammer it is replacing. Integrated testing was completed in July 2024. The Navy then put it on units in the field with an older version of the software while the IOT&E still hasn’t finished yet. The contractors are Raytheon, Boeing, and Northrop Grumman. There are reliability issues, but they are pretty sure they solved all the hardware ones and now it’s just software.

Standard Missile 6 Family (SM-6): The Navy’s newest and fanciest air defense missile. It receives mid course adjustments from the Aegis System. It finished testing in March 2024, though the DOT&E didn’t get all the data they want. The Navy seems very happy to sideline these guys and run their own tests. There are variants with extended range, and apparently it can be launched at targets in the air, at sea, and on land. i don’t think we’ve seen the SM missiles used for bombardment. The contractor is Raytheon.

[–] junebug2@hexbear.net 25 points 3 days ago

My understanding of the APKWS is that it is laser guided, meaning the plane that’s firing the rockets has to be laser painting the target in order for the rocket to track it. There are ground laser designators, and deploying those for air campaigns is one of the things that US Special Forces do regularly. They look kinda like surveying equipment or a fancy camera. The Ukrainian/ L3Harris Vampire has a rocket launcher and a laser designator in the back of a truck next to each other.

Most MANPADS, including Igla and Stinger, use infrared or thermal tracking, which does not require anyone else/ extra equipment for the missile to track the target. The Starstreak does use laser guidance in addition to launching three projectiles. It’s heavier than other MANPADS. The British only gave Ukraine like 6 of them so i don’t know how well it works. So realistically you could have a ten pound heavier launcher with a built-in laser designator, or a two person team with a laser designator on a tripod and a launcher. The question would be if it’s cost efficient. The APKWS is a bit like the USA version of FAB-250, though obviously not in payload size. There are thousands of Cold War era dummy rockets and bombs sitting in warehouses, and planes are already equipped with things like laser designators. Adding a cheap guidance kit to a ‘free’ bomb is very cost effective. If you had to build it from scratch, i don’t know if that’s what you’d do. Flak or birdshot seem like cheaper anti-drone platforms for militaries or paramilitaries who don’t have decades of military surplus.

[–] junebug2@hexbear.net 30 points 3 days ago (3 children)

we’re all talking about the guy with the totenkopf tattooed on his chest who bragged about firing grenades into civilian crowds in Iraq, yeah? if you think being a Nazi is a-ok, i think you should speak a lot less about what anyone on the ‘left’ does or ought to do.

[–] junebug2@hexbear.net 10 points 3 weeks ago (3 children)

The short answer is that it depends on what dlc you have. Some of them are rolled into the base game, but off the top of my head tank design and some officer features are from No Step Back, spies and intelligence agencies are from La Resistance, plane design is from By Blood Alone, customizable design companies are from Arms Against Tyranny, and Special Projects are from Gotterdamerung. i own the first two, and i wouldn’t recommend the newest dlcs. If you are on steam, i would highly recommend the Old World Blues and Kaiserreich mods. Hoi4 has some fun mechanics for military and economy, but the writing and the focus trees are kinda mid. Old World Blues is a total game overhaul based on all the west coast and midwest Fallout games, released or planned. Kaiserreich is a very long running (multiple hearts of iron editions) alt-history mod about ‘what if the Central Powers won WW1?’ It has almost the same mechanics and technologies as the base game, but it has much better writing (and a lot of commies ;3). Also the beginner’s guide from the devs is probably not very good, i would recommend Bitt3rSteel. i am 90% sure he isn’t a Nazi. This Steam guide is also good for designs, especially if you have dlcs.

The really long answerThere’s a lot of interlocking systems that have timers (e.g. time to research a type of artillery, time to build that artillery, time to construct factories, time to train units, time to do foci, etc). The job of the player is to determine when war will be coming, offensive or defensive, and plan their timers around that. What does that mean? If you have a focus that gives you a pile of factories, you will get more economic benefit if you take it earlier. If you are starting a war very quickly, you might want a pile of guns, manpower, or a buff to combat. Taking something like a 15% buff to unit organization will only benefit you when you are at war, but taking something like a 5% buff to production efficiency capacity will benefit you the whole game. Every choice you make is basically trading between economic, military, and political buffs or decisions, and the order in which that happens is up to you. Certain things also have requirements from other countries or the state of the world.

Economy abridged: infrastructure determines construction speed and some aspects of supply, the number of civilian factories and your trade and economic policies determine how much “construction power” is added to the queue every day, the number of military factories and resource availability determine how much equipment is produced every day, and dockyards work similarly. This can all be abstracted as ‘IC’ or Industrial Cost. If you are a big spreadsheet person, some people define their army divisions in terms of equipment needed and calculate their economy in advance. Civilian factories are the currency for trading resources. You can also do things like build fuel reserves and import a bunch of oil before you know there’s going to be war.

Army abridged: technically there are optimized meta divisions for every single terrain and combat width, and you can look those up. That really only matters in competitive games between humans. Basically, infantry holds the line and armor pushes. Infantry divisions are bricks of HP, organization, and soft attack that resist the enemy in place. Line infantry is usually 10 or 20 width with at least engineer companies and support artillery. Port garrison infantry is 10 width with engineers. Assault infantry, if you really have to, is 20 or 40 width with line artillery and any breakthrough you can get. Line artillery has been kinda bad for like five years. Paratroopers are a waste of time unless you can get air dominance and want to try to insta cap a country by landing on every city. Unless you need to naval invade something early, Marines are best with amphibious tanks and amtracs. Mountaineers are infantry+, and you should use them instead of assault infantry (if you have to). Armored divisions are broadly bricks of armor, breakthrough, and soft attack that rapidly beat the enemy. The balance is that tanks alone have poor organization, so you add motorized or mechanized or cavalry. The slowest battalion sets the division speed. Anything less than 20 width is waste of industry. Light tanks are a tool for an early war, especially an early offensive war. They are quickly outclassed by mediums. Heavies are slow and the AI isn’t very good at piercing armor, so they aren’t really worth the cost. Things like self propelled anti air or artillery are really only good as an expensive unit for infantry. Adding armor reduces damage taken, more or less. Basically you want at least 30 organization and as much armor and breakthrough as you can get. A 7/8 split of tanks and whatever else makes a decent 30 width unit. You want logistics, maintenance, and engineer companies with them. Motorized divisions are not very good, but they can be used to exploit armored breakthroughs and some countries start with the units. Mechanized divisions are incredibly expensive infantry, but if you can afford them it’s fun. The strategy is something you’ll have to develop for yourself, but remember that you can pause! Pause literally whenever you want, especially when you are at war. Things like river lines, forts, and mountains are easier to hold/ harder to attack. The most effective way to inflict casualties is encirclements, which can be as small as one division pocketed by two tanks going to either side of it. The most effective ways to experience casualties are to try to mass push with infantry or to have one unit extend deep into the enemy for an encirclement. The question of who is encircling who can flip very quickly. Support companies are really fun for customizing your play style, and the only bad choice is military police on a front line unit.

Air abridged: air is probably the most important feature of combat in Hoi4. This could potentially be traced to a broad Western overemphasis on the role of the USA in the European Theatre of WW2, but that’s besides the point. Luckily it’s not that complicated, cause you just want your air zone to turn green, which gives your units buffs. You’re going to want to build a pile of fighters, and the key to victory is destroying your enemy’s pile of fighters. You only need a few hundred bombers, but you might need thousands of fighters. Also, if you are a tiny country with like 10 military factories, just build AA for your units instead of planes. You should never have fighters engage unless the numbers are relatively equal. There’s a degree to which you can make up for numbers with more advanced planes, but not much. If your fighters have been beaten down to the point that the enemy has twice as many as you, ground them and wait to build more. They will be shot down if you send 500 fighters against 1000. CAS are frankly the best bombers, and they can hit railroads, trucks, and enemy units. Tactical bombers are more expensive and less good, but they have a jack of all trades thing. Strategic bombers are mostly ineffective unless you are the USA and you start building them in 1938 so you can blot out the sun. Naval bombers are really good at killing submarines, convoys, and other coastal ships. Air superiority and some type of bombing are the only two air missions that matter. Interception is for intercepting a lot of enemy CAS or bombers, which shouldn’t happen if you have enough fighters. Basically, achieve air superiority with your fighters (‘green air’), and then place bombers on areas of crucial combat or where the enemy has logistically overextended (you can bomb their supply trains and trucks).

Navy abridged: famously no one cares about navy in hoi4. You can win most everything without ever really thinking about it. That said, the basic rules are submarines are good, never mix subs with anything else, and have at least 4 screens for every capital ship in a fleet (the ones with a diamond next to it). The AI either doesn’t research or doesn’t effectively build destroyers or cruisers with sonar or depth charges. As such, about 100 Submarine 3s set to always engage can destroy every single surface ship in the Atlantic in a year or two, as long as you have fuel. You can also build naval bombers and win naval battles the easy way (picking them apart for weeks before smashing the bleeding remnants).

Sorry if this is like incomprehensibly long, i have a lot of hours in the game

[–] junebug2@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

The direct comparison of Western media treatment for Palestinians and for Ukrainians was sickening. How ever much you hate the imperial stenographers, it isn’t enough. The psychologist quoted by the New York Times in particular made me have to step away from the book. It’s so bewildering that there are philology and race science books from two hundred years ago that have more impact on what can be said about current events than any history or economics. i guess that’s orientalism at work. The median liberal idealist is so wrapped up in stories that they think Eastern Europe and the Levant are mythical, far off locations, and the happenings there have to be relayed by specialized, expert translators. It’s such a suffocating épistémè that even the author and other writers who rejected American-washing Shireen Abu Akleh still felt the need “to exculpate her from the crime of being Palestinian” with her press equipment. i think it’s very telling that the approved, Zionist experts referred to her as “armed with [her] camera”. The master translators that work at Western news outlets and universities can take any victim and make them a perpetrator, or vice versa. And every single thing that happens east and south of the Imperial Core is incomprehensibly foreign to the Anglophone and Francophone common sense, so you have to listen to the ‘experts’. It’s almost sublime, in the sense of a small figure staring at a tidal wave of lies encompassing the horizon.

[–] junebug2@hexbear.net 4 points 2 months ago (2 children)

There’s a school of thought in critical theory that the whole idea of the Western citizen (and all the brainworms tied up in that) is defined by opposition to the subjugated. In the United States specifically, the white citizen individual is defined as the opposite of enslaved Black bodies and dispossessed indigenous nations. Notably, Black Americans have been enslaved and indigenous people have had their land stolen for the entire history of the USA, and the state continuously reproduces those categories in order to survive. Of course, the only way to do that is constant violence. You have to take Hegel’s master-slave dialectic a little too seriously to see this as conferring humanity instead of legal status, but there’s good evidence that’s how the author meant it. If you don’t exist within the category of citizen, you aren’t actually seen as an individual. i’ve read a bit about how Hegel and Kant were first anthropologists and race scientists before writing their works of philosophy. The definition of a western or european citizen is ultimately rooted in white supremacy. The settler citizen is free, the opposite of the slave or bonded laborer. The settler citizen has land, the opposite of the dispossessed native. i bring up Yankeestan first because i’m from there, so its easy for me to talk about it.

The Zionist project is ultimately a European colonial project, and i think the same pattern holds. The Palestinians are obviously the natives being dispossessed of their land, and in many cases Palestinians do menial low paying jobs (which i understand to be one of few available sources of income thanks to Zionist policy). There are also laborers imported from Thailand and the Philippines to do manual labor that is beneath the dignity of Zionist citizens. The citizen is defined by religion, by skin color, by land ownership, and by employment. A great deal of cultural and psychological effort goes into making these categories, and the boundary of the circle is defined by everything outside of it. When El-Kurd says that the humanizing process accepts implicitly that “that the oppressed must demonstrate their worthiness of liberty and dignity, first and foremost. Otherwise occupation, subjugation, police brutality, dispossession, surveillance, and “extrajudicial executions,” would be excusable or even necessary,” i think that’s a necessary principle for citizens of a settler colony. If the oppressed don’t basically deserve it, if the stereotypes aren’t mostly true, then the self-conception and mental stability of the settler citizen collapse.

El-Kurd also points out the theoretical base for humanization is in bourgeois values. The idea that membership in a common humanity comes from a checklist of certifications is ultimately something that will only help those with money. It imagines “a world where the rich can master roles the poor cannot imagine auditioning for”. I think this bourgeois humanization also exists in contrast to the definition of a citizen i’ve been discussing. You don’t need any amount of money or any degrees or to be actually correct about anything for settler citizens to ‘circle the wagons’ if you are already one of them. The Zionist soldier ‘kidnapped’ out of his tank and Carolyn Bryant (the woman who got Emmett Till lynched) are both citizens according to their societies. They are/ were individuals with value and potential, and so settler society calls them victims regardless of their actions or the facts. By contrast, their enemies are seen as violent thugs who are beyond reason, lurking among the faceless masses who secretly sympathize. The outsider or the non-citizen cannot be individuated or have reasonable complaints in the eyes of the citizen. The idea of humanization is a trap, to waste the energies and resources of non-citizens so that a select few of them can get conditional scraps of citizenship.

PSCan a comrade who speaks Arabic translate “Ajoona min kol qaryeh kharyeh” for us?

[–] junebug2@hexbear.net 31 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

A 2021 white paper from the Open Nuclear Network, a Vienna-based anti-nuclear weapons NGO, claims

  • the DPRK is repurposing a 3000 ton submarine for ballistic missile launch
  • the first small, experimental DPRK submarine missile launch was in 2016
  • it’s possible for a 4-5k ton nuclear submarine to be built in the near future

An article from the Stimson Center, a Washington DC think tank founded in 1989, from earlier this year about this submarine claims

  • a 5-8k ton nuclear submarine is under construction, but “several years away”
  • it’s about twice the diameter of the largest known indigenously produced DPRK submarine
  • Kim Jong Un has made several announcements about building a nuclear powered submarine over the last decade
  • the DPRK has ballistic missiles with a range of 12,000 km, capable of hitting North America from the Korean peninsula
  • also the article is confident that there’s no way the DPRK could ever make a nuclear engine

The upshot is that the DPRK has a nuclear diad (dyad?) now. Even if land-based launch facilities are obstructed or a surprise attack from the US gets off, submarines loitering off the coast would be able to send a nuclear response. This is different from previous tactical missile submarines, which would only have a range of few hundred kilometers. It’s likely unfeasible for a small number of submarines to move across the Pacific. While it is possible to evade many sensors by diving deep enough, the DPRK does not have much experience with cruising capabilities or blue water performance in general. They operate a large number of submarines, but most are midget and diesel-electric. The Korean People’s Navy has a large number of landing craft and riparian vessels, as well as an East and a West coastal fleet. It is essentially a brown and green water navy. This submarine will most likely be used for something resembling the UK’s Trident program. Trident has a nuclear armed submarine go on a wide patrol at all times, with 4 submarines in the program to keep one at sea at all times. The main complication will be that the DPRK is quite close to Japan and Samsung Korea, while the UK is hardly sending submarines into a hostile Atlantic.

[–] junebug2@hexbear.net 3 points 2 months ago (1 children)

i would be comfortable with the pace you’ve described or slightly increasing it.

i was especially struck by the section after the subheading “The thief holds a gavel,” in which El-Kurd says that those who engage in a politics of appealing to morality are proceeding from an analysis that power is immutable and built on stone instead of “an imposing yet tenuous entity resting on sand”. i think this is correct, and also an important thing to consider with the Palestine Action members currently engaged in a hunger strike in the UK. In the words of Kwame Ture, in order for non-violence to work, your opponent must have a conscience. Palestinians can, through the power of idealism, sometimes change their role to ‘victim’. This still exists within and reproduces the Zionist and Western narrative, though. It reinforces on the one side the image of the victim, and on the other side does not challenge the image of the terrorist. As a Westerner, i think the official “victim” narrative essentially amounts to saying “something sad but completely unavoidable has happened, please give money or volunteer with a church or NGO”. It’s how people make ads for malaria nets and hurricane relief, and pretending that 2000 lb bombs and cement checkpoints are as natural as mosquitoes and monsoons completely washes the hands of the USA and “israel”. This also connects to the author’s consideration of how the constant discussion of Palestinian death is naturalized, both in the sense of it being commonplace and in the sense of it being compared to natural disaster or disease.

To engage with the airs and masks the West puts on (in narrative, in interviews, in the academy, in the discussion of so-called human rights) is to use “the tools made available by the institution, . . . in line with the institution’s logic.” El-Kurd also says that the above engagement with power is one tool or facet among many. It’s all but necessary to shop around your arguments and positions to try and make them sound appealing. It seems to me that he saying that the error is assigning supreme significance to the politics of moral appeal, and specifically the tactics associated with casting one’s self as a better victim. There was obviously a lot more in the chapter, but i don’t know if i have coherent thoughts about it.

[–] junebug2@hexbear.net 23 points 2 months ago

The US Civil War is seen as an act of nation building, which is why in the documentary movie “National Treasure: Book of Secrets” Nick Cage says that before the Civil War people said ‘the United States are’ and after ‘the United States is’. More seriously, at least in liberal theory the South was a nation. From a paid article by Big Serge, someone i would call a well read liberal:

The US Civil War was, as I would argue, the single most consequential act of empire building in modern history. The simple fact was that the Confederate South was a nation, or at least was in the process of becoming one, with a wealthy agrarian economy, peculiar social forms, and a patrician leadership caste that was largely alien to the industrial, urban north. Southerners affirmed their membership in this emergent nation with exceptionally high levels of military participation, the willingness to endure extreme privation, and a new schema of southern symbols and hagiography. This emerging southern nation was strangled in its cradle by the powerful north and then re-integrated into the Union in a complex political settlement - the cost of which was abandoning southern blacks to a postwar racial caste system.

More materially, the capital used to jumpstart the London Stock Exchange ultimately originated in the primitive accumulation of chattel slavery in the US South. The low cost of the cotton made mills in Liverpool profitable, and that allowed for finance to emerge. The Confederacy thought during the war that Britain would bail them out because of their economic inter-linkages. Now, Britain was actually engaged in imperial expansion in Egypt and India for more cotton under their control, and didn’t really mind. But for over 200 years, slaves worked in particular parts of North America to produce raw materials and those were processed in England.

By contrast, the Union was a shipbuilding pit stop in colonial times. Lumber, pitch, hemp, shipyards, and rum distillation were what the Empire wanted. The various English colonies in North America had different laws and different economic purposes. Famously, before the war, the South preferred to send cotton to England instead of mills in the North, effectively subsidizing their competitors. The rules and structure of settling westward and stealing more native land were also bound by the competition of northern yeomen farmers and proto-industry vs southern plantation owners and highly militarized lower classes.

It might be wrong to technically call them a nation, but the alternative would be something like “for 100 some years, half the country fought tooth and nail for how much they loved slavery”. Better PR to call them a totally separate enemy. And since this is the Union that made slavery legal in prisons where settler citizens can’t see instead of banning it, PR counts for something.

[–] junebug2@hexbear.net 6 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

When i was studying philosophy, panpsychism was treated a bit like skepticism in general. Fascinating and compelling arguments, but not practicable. It is true that logic is a closed system, so you can’t really determine a priori that the sun will rise tomorrow. No one actually lives like the sun isn’t showing up. We have no idea what the cause or mechanism of consciousness is, and as such there is no reason to assume that certain types of cell or an arrangement of them are related to it.

In the literature, the idea that the exact specific cells of your body make up your consciousness or that there’s a specific pattern of cells that make it up are variants of hard materialism, with respect to consciousness. They are also wrong (One’s cells replace themselves, so if consciousness was in the specific cells you’d get ship of theseus’ed. We also don’t act like many brain injuries change a person.)

With all that above in mind, the argument that there’s no inherent reason to treat of pile of wires as different from a pile of ganglia or neurons was one of those arguments that someone came up with as a counterpoint more than a real point. The only ‘professional’ philosopher that adheres to panpsychism is David Chalmers, and some people in the field think he’s doing a long running bit.

my personal view is that panpsychism claims that elementary particles (either the normal ones we know or some new ones) have a mental or proto-mental character. This is to stay that a bunch of particles together give rise to complex forms. This is another way of taking materialism (in philosophy of consciousness, zero relation to political theory) at its word and treating consciousness as something that developed from lava-cooked, meteorite-seeded primordial soup. We already think proteins and organelles and organisms are increasingly complex combinations of these particles, so if consciousness is an organic phenomenon, why wouldn’t it follow a similar path?

i think the point of this is to demonstrate that materialism (brain is conscious experience and changing one will definitionally change the other) is at least an incomplete picture. i definitely don’t agree with it personally, but i do think it’s an interesting idea in the contemporary philosophical conversation about the mind.

[–] junebug2@hexbear.net 22 points 4 months ago (1 children)

the only reason i heard about Mamdani in the first place was his anti-zionism, and every appearance he’s had since then has been backtracking it. no magic words, just a very bad sign for his integrity and true feelings. the United States of America is directly threatening Venezuela with military intervention, and has been strangling Cuba for 50+ years. this is not having issues with a country in a vacuum, or an academic interview. this is the person claiming to represent the furthest left tent pole in the media laundering the current imperialist regime change project. are we seriously calling a succ dem mayor AES? while actively warmongering?

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