this post was submitted on 12 Jul 2026
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Fuck AI
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AI, in this case, refers to LLMs, GPT technology, and anything listed as "AI" meant to increase market valuations.
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Depends entirely on whether or not Moore's law has hit a physical limit yet.
If we're still doubling computational every X years for the same cost, we'd be able to see same models cheaper. If we're however finally hitting physical limits, then yeah. It won't be cheaper and we can't just smash more context in it like there's no tomorrow.
Then the most likely breakthrough would have to be DNA storage (tri point storage, rather than bi point storage) and then we'd need fast read/write to DNA storage. As that'd theoretically allow for more context for the LLMs, context is the biggest bottleneck
Moore's law has been dead for more than a decade by now
Sort of, we still get improvements but they are a fraction of what they used to be