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submitted 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) by SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net to c/news@hexbear.net

Image is sourced from this article.


It takes very little effort to find an article from Western state propaganda decrying Daniel Ortega and the Sandinistas as authoritarian and rife with human rights abuses. This is the natural reaction the US has to any successful liberation movement. This fairly long report from Jason Cohen, a socialist who travelled to Nicaragua one week ago, should quell any suspicions.

He describes a country with high political consciousness among the masses, who are working to construct critical infrastructure for the country and their communities. There is a virtual education system that is free across the entire nation, which serves the dual goal of democratizing education and ensuring that those in rural areas or without much free time for university can still achieve degrees and a quality education; and these classes cover technical skills in the production of infrastructure and agriculture, but also political and ideological education in order to counter the fascist propaganda produced by imperialist nations abroad.

While Nicaragua is deeply invested in its nationality and national figures who led to their socialist revolution, such as Sandino, they are also immensely proud of their indigneous history, recognizing it as also part of their anti-colonial history which continues to the present day. Additionally, they honour the struggles of other nations on the continent, such as the Bolivarian Revolution in Venezuela, as well as Castro in Cuba and Allende in Chile. Countries around the world are also celebrated and admired, such as Burkina Faso; during the Reagan administration, Nicaragua and Burkina Faso were comrades in arms, and now Traore is continuing the legacy of Sankara's anti-imperialism in the present. Perhaps most relevant today is their dedication towards Palestine, involving the creation of the Parque Palestina (shown in the post image), in which the Palestinian flag flies alongside the flag of Nicaragua. In July, Leila Khaled of the PFLP gave a speech in Nicaragua, in which the solidarity of the two nations was highlighted.


The COTW (Country of the Week) label is designed to spur discussion and debate about a specific country every week in order to help the community gain greater understanding of the domestic situation of often-understudied nations. If you've wanted to talk about the country or share your experiences, but have never found a relevant place to do so, now is your chance! However, don't worry - this is still a general news megathread where you can post about ongoing events from any country.

The Country of the Week is Nicaragua! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] notceps@hexbear.net 63 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Dresden's Carolabrücke Collapse: A Stark Reminder of Government Neglect Under Scholz's Regime

Dresden has been plunged into turmoil as the Carolabrücke, the city’s most vital bridge connecting its northern and southern halves, collapsed during the night. This shocking event has not only severed a critical transport link but has also laid bare the weaknesses in Germany’s infrastructure management under the current regime led by the authoritarian leader Olaf "Nr 2" Scholz.

The Carolabrücke was more than just a bridge; it was a key symbol of Dresden’s unity and economic vitality. Its sudden collapse is seen by many germany watchers as emblematic of broader issues plaguing Germany's economy and leadership, widespread recession, corruption and instability. The Scholz regime, already facing criticism for its handling of various international issues, now finds itself under intensified scrutiny as citizens question how such a crucial structure could be allowed to deteriorate to the point of failure.

As the nation looks on, Chancellor Scholz and his government are facing mounting pressure to not only provide answers but also to take swift and decisive action. From the Bundestag only one thing can be heard "Es wird sich grundsätzlich nichts ändern" (Nothing will fundementally change). Several NGOs one of them Germany Watch lead by renowned Dr. 艾德里安 曾兹 has issued warnings that a human catastrophe is imminent if the world community does not act now.

Reporting from an underground bunker in srfland I'm Notceps back to the studio.

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[-] HelltakerHomosexual@hexbear.net 63 points 2 months ago

tomorrow is the anniversary of everyone's favorite objectively funny planned demolition

[-] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 58 points 2 months ago

if Iran carries out their response tomorrow then that's confirmation that Khamenei has a great sense of humor

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[-] ziggurter@hexbear.net 62 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Motherfucking Jamal Bowman on Israel just now, when talking about the Presidential ~~clown show~~ "debate" with the other "I dislike the genocide but am all-in with Vote Blue No Mater Who" liberal Mehdi Hasan:

There's nothing wrong with good faith criticism of your friend...Israel is an ally. They're our friend in the Middle East. We support their right to exist. All of that stuff right. And we need to end the occupation and settlement expansion, hold them accountable, stop detaining children, and right now stop the genocide and the killing of babies and innocent people. We can say those things. We can say if you continue we will not send you any more arms....

My good friend Benjamin Netanyahu right here. He was supposed to be an anti-Zionist all of a sudden, eh? DSA should've kicked him out after all. They were so desperate to hear this donkey-brained Kkkopmala sycophant say the word "genocide" that they let another fucking "progressive" who is another Pelosi/AOC in the making run around with their socialist flag. Pathetic.

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[-] weeen@hexbear.net 62 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

https://xcancel.com/RnaudBertrand/status/1835171408256942149

Pope Francis: "China is a country with a capacity for dialogue and understanding that goes beyond other systems of democracy."

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[-] Frogmanfromlake@hexbear.net 62 points 1 month ago

Redditors really show their age when they spout conspiratorial shit about TikTok while whining about zoomers. Is that entire site populated by Gen X/ millennials and contrarian zoomers?

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[-] miz@hexbear.net 62 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

"Israel" exploits African asylum seekers for military manpower in Gaza: Report | The Cradle

they dangle asylum in front of them and then throw them away if they survive. service does not in any way guarantee citizenship

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[-] edge@hexbear.net 62 points 1 month ago

The Trump campaign has laid out a peace plan for the war in Ukraine that would have Ukraine surrender the land Russia has taken (the thing that's going to happen eventually anyway).

Does that make Trump the harm reduction candidate?

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[-] carpoftruth@hexbear.net 62 points 1 month ago

this article isn't worth reading, but I'll post the bait and switch headline anyway

> Stoltenberg says NATO could have done more to prevent Ukraine war, FAS reports

hmm headline is off to a good start

"Now we provide military stuff to a war - then we could have provided military stuff to prevent the war," NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg told German weekly newspaper FAS.

oh, you just mean you think NATO should have sent more weapons, earlier to ukraine

this isn't really news, but still a good object lesson in why you can't rely on just the headline

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[-] Voidance@hexbear.net 62 points 1 month ago

Good news everyone. If you search famous artists on google now, the first image results are of ai monstrosities

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[-] AssortedBiscuits@hexbear.net 61 points 1 month ago

Press release from Palestine Action of the Barclays sites that they fucked up:
https://palestineaction.org/barclays-nationwide/

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[-] ItsPequod@hexbear.net 61 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)
[-] BodyBySisyphus@hexbear.net 61 points 2 months ago

I dipped a toe in the lib blogosphere recently just to see how the election coverage was looking from their perspective, and it's amazing how orthogonal their news is to ours. Daily Kos has regular feature called "Russian Stuff Blowing Up" and tons of Ukraine war coverage but is essentially silent on Palestine. There's a single recent, highly detailed diary that goes into Israel's role in the October 7th casualties and is highly critical of America and Israel, and it has less than a tenth of the engagement as "Russian Stuff Blowing Up," where they're busy cheering on the possibility of a Ukrainian strike on Iran. The rest of the front page diaries are about Trump or the election (front page right now: Trump, DeSantis, Trump, Trump, political cartoon about Trump).

I've spent about 8 years at this point drifting more and more leftwards after watching the fallout from the election and results (or lack thereof) of the marches and protests that happened immediately afterward, and it's a little disorienting to see people I would've mostly agreed with inhabiting an alien world and speaking a totally different language. The comments sections suggest that there's several people there who might be reachable but it seems like the majority is pretty much what you'd expect from an r/politics thread.

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[-] smokeppb@hexbear.net 61 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Leaked name of shooter according to NY Post - RYAN WESLEY ROUTH

His twitter - filled with pro ukraine, pro taiwan, and NATO stuff - https://xcancel.com/ryanrouth

A pretty deranged account that would post his own phone number lol.

EDIT: the hasanabi coverage on this is guy is insane. Turned on Trumped in 2106, became Bernie bro, barricaded himself inside his house, probably is schizo going off his twitter, wants to join ukraine, tweeted at Kim Jong Un to try to invite him to his party. Wow. The internet.

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[-] smokeppb@hexbear.net 61 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

LIVE UPDATES: TRUMP SHOT AT IN HIS GOLF COURSE

thicc-trump

  • "Sheriff says the man who pointed a rifle through a fence at Trump's golf course had a scope, backpacks and a GoPro camera and was 400-500 yards from Trump."
  • Bunch of whining about how his security detail isn't big enough to secure an entire golf course.
  • "Trump’s golf course is surrounded by shrubbery. If somebody gets into the shrubbery, they’re pretty much out of sight, Bradhsaw says." - guy outsmarted by a bush
  • "No injuries were reported: Trump’s campaign and the Secret Service said Trump was safe, and the agency said it was investigating the incident that occurred shortly before 2 p.m."
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[-] thelastaxolotl@hexbear.net 60 points 1 month ago

AMLO's last scream of independence

He started with the basic long live the heroes of the independence, then added the part about the working people, migrants and indigenous people, i like that he also added death to corruption and racism which was new and then ended it with long live the 4th transformation (the name of his movement)

It was decent, my mom really liked it

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[-] AssortedBiscuits@hexbear.net 60 points 1 month ago

Imagine blowing the cover of your orchestrated coup because you're too addicted to clout lmao:
https://xcancel.com/realErikDPrince/status/1833192423251710382

[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 60 points 1 month ago

Several shots were fired near Donald Trump's golf club in West Palm Beach, Florida. The Republican was there.

According to the former president's campaign, Trump is “safe”. Two people exchanged gunfire outside Donald Trump's golf club in West Palm Beach, Florida.

According to the NY Post, the men fired at each other and the shots were not aimed at the former president. Trump was not in danger at any time.

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[-] Torenico@hexbear.net 60 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

I am indeed happy to hear Fujimori died. But at the same time, I can't stop thinking he died at like 86 after fulfilling all his goals, the damage he has done is far too great and he escaped proper justice (Execution, because monsters like him don't deserve to live). Same goes for other ghouls like Bush (father), Rumsfeld, Kissinger and the fucking Queen. They all died, yes, and we should celebrate. But they died comfortably after doing their jobs. They might be gone, but the structures that took them to power and allowed them to do what they did are still around, they have not been dismantled. Hitler died, but nazism lived on.

Once we do just that, only then we can say proper justice has been delivered.

Still crab-party , but we must also remind ourselves that we have a lot of work to do.

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[-] emizeko@hexbear.net 59 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)
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[-] carpoftruth@hexbear.net 59 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

We've speculated a fair amount about the very measured approach of Iran to Israel - this negotiated pullout of iraq may be something that Iran is working on that they don't want to jeopardize through escalation. Getting the US out of Iraq would be positive for them for sure, especially if some form of sanctions relief was agreed on as well

https://www.reuters.com/world/us-iraq-deal-would-see-hundreds-troops-withdraw-first-year-sources-say-2024-09-06/

I posted the following in the waning hours of last week's thread:

Mkb speculates that sanctions relief is a top priority for their government based on recent statements by khamenei

The salience is that the Axis of Resistance is not topping Iran’s foreign-policy priorities. That vector plausibly continues in the matrix but somewhere lower down, for sure. Make no mistake, what we are hearing from Tehran is about direct negotiations with the US as the number one priority as the means to get relief from western sanctions, which is an imperative for accelerating the economy and is the lodestar for Iran’s national policy. Iran’s neighbours are keenly watching. To be sure, the Middle East is on the cusp of change.

https://www.indianpunchline.com/iran-nuclear-talks-will-be-in-new-format/

https://apnews.com/article/iran-nuclear-deal-khamenei-us-tensions-bc11763f45041ac84171ebc3866f1273

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[-] SoyViking@hexbear.net 59 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Popularity of Norwegian Monarchy in Freefall

Support for the Norwegian monarchy has been plummeting recently, as highlighted by a new poll commissioned by Norwegian government broadcaster NRK.

According to the poll, only 62% of Norwegians still back the monarchy, a sharp drop from 73% in May this year. For context, in 2017, support sat at a solid 81%. The royal family's public image is taking a serious hit, largely due to the actions of two high-profile members: Marius Borg Høiby, the stepson of the future king, who has been charged with abusing a woman, and Princess Märtha-Louise, whose tacky spirituality grifts and highly commercialised wedding to a fellow non-white spirituality grifter have further damaged the monarchy's already fragile reputation.

Read more...

The Fuckboy Step-Prince

Marius Borg Høiby, 27, was arrested last month and charged with assault, vandalism, theft, and stalking after a coke-and-booze-fueled meltdown in the apartment of a woman he claims was his girlfriend. Her lawyer, however, denies that she was ever involved with him romantically. Following the arrest, a restraining order was issued against Høiby, prohibiting him from contacting her.

Ten days after his arrest, Høiby issued a public apology to the woman, claiming to have several mental health issues and promising to seek treatment for both his substance abuse and his supposed psychological problems. Unfortunately for him, two of his ex-partners have since come forward, telling of his drug use and violent behavior, which blows apart his narrative that this was just a one-time mistake.

To make matters worse for the royals, Crown Princess Mette-Marit (Høiby’s mother) reportedly called the victim to "discuss" the charges shortly after the arrest, prompting outrage over the royals potentially abusing their status to influence the legal process.

Though Høiby holds no royal title or official function, this isn’t his first scandal. Apart from a conviction for drug possession the step-prince has previously made headlines for referring to himself as "Prince of Norway" in a short-lived stint as a style editor for a British fashion magazine, and he's used the royal palace's address both to give to police when arrested for drug possession and as a marketing ploy to sell second-hand luxury goods online. When he’s not busy assaulting women, Høiby fills his time doing cocaine, posting videos of reckless driving and partying with celebrities, influencers, organized criminals and alt-right bloggers.

On top of it all, he’s faced criticism for using his connections to get a Norwegian diplomatic passport — despite having no diplomatic role — using it to dodge law enforcement while abroad.

Royal Grifters: The Angel Princess and the COVID Shaman

While Høiby self-destructs, Princess Märtha-Louise — daughter of King Harald — is also doing her bit to fan the flames of republican sentiment, with 69% of poll respondents saying she should lose her royal title.

Märtha-Louise recently married her long-time partner, Durek Verrett, a self-styled American "shaman" who caters to the spiritual needs of the rich and famous. By his own account Verrett had spiritual precognition of 9/11 but he decided not to warn anyone. Normally, royal weddings serve as an opportunity for monarchies to flex their influence and charm the public with elaborate pageantry, but not this time. For a start just by being black Verrett has pissed off Norway's nastiest elements, who would otherwise have been staunch monarchists.

But Verrett’s race isn’t the only controversy. The couple’s blatant commercialism has turned off much of the public who sees it as unworthy for the institution. In a break from tradition, they sold exclusive coverage of the wedding to a British tabloid, shunning Norway’s government broadcaster, NRK. While the king and royal family attended, they notably skipped the tabloid photoshoot.

Adding to the circus, Märtha-Louise promoted her clothing line at the wedding by setting up a stand for guests to purchase her merchandise. Leading up to the wedding, the labels of a bespoke brand of gin marketed by the couple was found to violate Norwegian alcohol advertising laws and had to be relabeled before the state alcohol monopoly would sell it.

NRK reports that King Harald is displeased, seeing the commercial nature of the wedding as a breach of his agreement with Märtha-Louise not to use her title for financial gain.

Not content to stop there, Märtha-Louise and her shaman husband are also working on a Netflix series, much to the annoyance of residents in the small village where it’s being filmed. Their prior ventures include Verrett selling "magic charms" to protect against COVID, and Märtha-Louise running a school offering courses on how to perform miracles and communicate with angels to people with more money than sense.

The monarchy recently removed the "Royal Family" section from its official website. The section had previously included biographies for both Märtha-Louise and Marius Borg Høiby. Instead, a new category titled "Other Royals" has appeared, with Høiby no longer receiving his own profile.

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[-] SteamedHamberder@hexbear.net 59 points 1 month ago

Trump shooter in the shrubbery like: homer-bye

[-] jackmarxist@hexbear.net 59 points 1 month ago

Wow looks like NATO is finally considering talking to Russia regarding ending the war after realising that their sanctions, military equipment and political standing have all failed over the last two years.

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[-] WilsonWilson@hexbear.net 59 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Stormfront banned russianwarfootage2. Again. Best way to win a war is simply not allow coverage of your defeat.

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[-] plinky@hexbear.net 58 points 1 month ago

Seems like uncommitted campaign beefing with jill stein on twitterino. Just fold everytime to dems, one day they'll notice you

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[-] jackmarxist@hexbear.net 58 points 1 month ago

UAF slams Russia by PRETENDING to be Nazis (They're actually wholesome minority loving people who will never bomb minorities)

https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/1ffs02e/ru_pov_ukrainian_soldiers_again_filmed_themselves/

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[-] QuillcrestFalconer@hexbear.net 58 points 1 month ago

Now for some light hearted news that the news heads will appreciate

spoiler

Ig Nobel prize goes to team who found mammals can breathe through anuses

https://www.theguardian.com/science/2024/sep/12/ig-nobel-prize-goes-to-team-who-found-mammals-can-breathe-through-anuses

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[-] DivineChaos100@hexbear.net 58 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

According to Sputnik, thousands of elite Houthi fighters who were training for months to storm "israeli" bases are now in Syria so the playing field can be a bit more leveled soon.

via Palestinian Commie on Telegram.

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[-] Torenico@hexbear.net 58 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

A week or so ago I told my comrades here that my University was holding democratic elections. The process lasted for the entire week and was pretty heated up, the incumbent peronists were seeking to hold their positions of power while the Trots ~~got along together and challenged them~~ went each one by themselves, divided their votes and lost. Out of six lists presented, three were ideologically aligned with Trotskyism.

Will they learn from their mistakes? No, of course they wont. Now I will have to suffer two more years of pure peronist sellouts. Great.

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[-] trompete@hexbear.net 58 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

In two studies, experts reveal enormous deficits in the Bundeswehr's procurement and armaments system. There is a lack of money and speed, some scientists even speak of “state failure”.

“This offers no incentives for the arms industry because it is unclear how much money Germany wants to and can spend on defense after the 100 billion special fund expires,” said lead author and economist Guntram B. Wolff in a telephone conversation with the SZ. This is because defense companies that are thinking about building an additional factory have an investment horizon of ten years.

Give us more money!

Best part:

“At the current rate of procurement, it would take Germany up to almost 100 years to reach the military inventory of 20 years ago.” [...]

According to the scientists, Russia, on the other hand, would be able to provide the same quantities in a much shorter time. Moscow would need around half a year to produce the Bundeswehr's entire stock.

full article in German because archive.is no longer gets around SZ paywall

Brisante Studien zur Bundeswehr: Von wegen Zeitenwende

  1. September 2024, 18:01 Uhr

In zwei Studien zeigen Experten enorme Defizite im Beschaffungs- und Rüstungswesen der Bundeswehr auf. Es mangele an Geld und Tempo, manche Wissenschaftler sprechen gar von „Staatsversagen“.

Von Sina-Maria Schweikle, Berlin

Am Dienstag beginnen die Haushaltsberatungen im Deutschen Bundestag. Dabei spielt der Verteidigungsetat eine zentrale Rolle. Seit dem 24. Februar 2022, dem Beginn des russischen Angriffs auf die Ukraine, herrscht Krieg in Europa. Drei Tage später postulierte Bundeskanzler Olaf Scholz in seiner Regierungserklärung, die Aggression markiere eine „Zeitenwende in der Geschichte unseres Kontinents“. Es werde getan, was notwendig sei, um den Frieden in Europa zu sichern. Deutschland müsse deutlich mehr in die Sicherheit des Landes investieren, um Freiheit und Demokratie zu schützen. „Das Ziel ist eine leistungsfähige, hochmoderne, fortschrittliche Bundeswehr, die uns zuverlässig schützt“, sagte Scholz damals.

Zweieinhalb Jahre später scheint dieses Ziel in weite Ferne gerückt zu sein. Nach einer Bestandsaufnahme bilanzieren Verteidigungs- und Sicherheitsexperten in einer am Montag veröffentlichten Studie der SPD-nahen Denkfabrik Dezernat Zukunft: „Staatsversagen“. Daran dürften auch die geplanten 53 Milliarden Euro im Verteidigungsetat nichts ändern.

Die Ampelspitzen hatten sich im Juli darauf geeinigt, dass die Bundeswehr im kommenden Jahr deutlich weniger zusätzliches Geld bekommt als von Verteidigungsminister Boris Pistorius (SPD) gefordert. Ab 2025 soll der Wehretat von derzeit 52 Milliarden Euro nur leicht um rund 1,2 Milliarden Euro steigen. Ab 2028, wenn das 100-Milliarden-Sondervermögen aufgebraucht ist, soll der reguläre Wehretat dann aber 80 Milliarden Euro betragen, um die Nato-Vorgaben zu erfüllen. „Mit dem Verteidigungsetat wird auch eine Lücke beschlossen.“

Sicherheitsexperten wie Christan Mölling von der Bertelsmann-Stiftung sehen diese Zahlen skeptisch. Er hat mit sieben weiteren Kolleginnen und Kollegen das Kapitel „Verteidigung“ in der Studie des Dezernats Zukunft verfasst und sagt im Gespräch mit der Süddeutschen Zeitung: „Mit dem Verteidigungsetat wird auch eine Lücke beschlossen: Wir wissen heute schon, dass für 2025 mehr als 53 Milliarden nötig wären. Bis 2030 fehlen rund 103 Milliarden Euro“, so Mölling.

Für ihre Studie haben die Expertinnen und Experten mit Politikern und Fachleuten gesprochen sowie öffentlich zugängliche Daten ausgewertet. Der deutsche Staat habe den Verfassungsauftrag, Streitkräfte zur Verteidigung zu befähigen, in den vergangenen Jahren nicht erfüllt, erfülle ihn heute nicht und könne ihn auch auf absehbare Zeit nicht erfüllen, heißt es in dem Bericht.

Für die militärische Verteidigungsfähigkeit müssten demnach in Deutschland kurz-, aber auch mittelfristig zusätzliche Finanzmittel aufgebracht werden. Ob die geplanten 80 Milliarden Euro ab 2028 für eine entsprechende Kehrtwende nicht ausreichen? Christian Mölling hat eher grundsätzliche Zweifel: „Ob es wirklich einen sprunghaften Anstieg um 30 Milliarden Euro im Jahr 2028 geben wird, steht in den Sternen.“ Den Rüstungsunternehmen fehlt das Vertrauen in die Haushaltsplanung

Eine Frage, die sich auch seine Kollegen vom Kieler Institut für Weltwirtschaft stellen. Dort haben Experten eine Studie mit dem Titel „Kriegstüchtig in Jahrzehnten: Europas und Deutschlands langsame Aufrüstung gegenüber Russland“ veröffentlicht. Wie Mölling und seine Kollegen haben auch die Kieler Wissenschaftler auf öffentlich zugängliche Daten zurückgegriffen. Und auch sie kritisieren die deutsche Haushaltsplanung. „Diese bietet keine Anreize für die Rüstungsindustrie, weil unklar ist, wie viel Geld Deutschland nach dem Auslaufen des 100-Milliarden-Sondervermögens für Verteidigung ausgeben will und kann“, sagte der Hauptautor und Ökonom Guntram B. Wolff in einem Telefonat mit der SZ. Denn Rüstungsunternehmen, die über den Bau einer zusätzlichen Fabrik nachdenken, hätten einen Investitionshorizont von zehn Jahren.

Mit Sorge blicken er und seine Kollegen auf das Beschaffungswesen der Bundeswehr: „Um den militärischen Bestand von vor 20 Jahren zu erreichen, bräuchte Deutschland beim derzeitigen Beschaffungstempo bis zu knapp 100 Jahre.“ Die Bestände des Jahres 2004 könnten beispielsweise beim derzeitigen Beschaffungstempo bei Kampfflugzeugen in rund 15 Jahren, bei Kampfpanzern in rund 40 Jahren und bei Artillerie-Haubitzen erst in fast 100 Jahren wieder erreicht werden.

Russland hingegen, so die Wissenschaftler, wäre in der Lage, die gleichen Mengen in sehr viel kürzerer Zeit bereitzustellen. Um den Gesamtbestand der Bundeswehr zu produzieren, bräuchte Moskau etwa ein halbes Jahr. Seit dem Angriff auf die Ukraine habe Putin seine Produktionskapazitäten bei Panzern verdreifacht und bei der weitreichenden Flugabwehr verdoppelt. Deutschland hingegen habe erst ein Jahr nach Beginn des russischen Angriffskrieges begonnen, seine Verteidigungsausgaben zu erhöhen, kritisieren die Autoren. Ein „Weiter so“ wäre angesichts der russischen Aggression fahrlässig und unverantwortlich.

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[-] take_five_seconds@hexbear.net 58 points 1 month ago

alright chat what did i miss re: the debate? i was at work.

[-] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 57 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

From the top of my head:

  • A lot of back-and-forth on fracking. Harris kept insisting that she would keep fracking and Trump was like "no she won't, she's lying, she'll ban it". This was extra hilarious considering the next question was on climate change and how Harris thinks it's an existential threat. Real whiplash there.
  • Trying to out-racist each other on the border and Israel, Trump saying that Harris hates Israel, she insists that she's a Zionist, etc.
  • Trump kept to his "we have to end the war in Ukraine" policy and I think he sounded considerably more coherent than Harris, who was obviously full steam ahead on sTaNdInG uP tO pUtIn and how if he isn't stopped in Ukraine, he'll invade Poland (I suppose Harris forgot that Poland is part of NATO and that they have nukes or something? idk what they think the point of NATO is if they think that Russia will invade Poland). But most Americans have bizarre foreign policy opinions so idk who came out on top in the eyes of the people

Broadly I think Harris went into the debate with the same kind of 2020 Biden debate mindset of "make this guy look ridiculous and distant from the issues that actual Americans care about," and she had a couple moments that I'm sure will be widely spread but I don't think she managed anything quite like the "shut up, man" thing that Biden did. Meanwhile Trump was relatively chill, that wasn't his most incredible performance but he seemed fairly coherent and on-topic compared to his usual speeches. Lots of "tremendous" and "milyons and milyons" and so on. Harris sounded slightly drunk because she occasionally slurred a word but it was probably just an accent or nerves thing, she was audibly very good (compared to the very low bar of Biden, she was amazing)

Some funny Trump moments were a) when he started talking about immigrants coming to America and eating pets(???) Like, he's seen news about people's dogs going missing or something?? b) whenever he said "she" in relation to Harris, it sounded like "chi" so there were a lot of Xi jokes in the comments, and c) he referenced Harris' "I'm speaking" moment by interrupting her and saying something along the lines of "Hey, I'm speaking. You'd know a lot about that, right?" in a kinda mocking tone. It was pretty baller of him lmfao.

I don't think there was a clear winner in the debate overall.

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[-] notceps@hexbear.net 57 points 1 month ago

Taking a short break from german news to bring UK news, apparently you gotta pay 11 quid next year to get a permit to enter the country. I'm sure this will not have any influence on the UKs tourism sector.

I mean really 11£? Like I know that someone in the government looked at the yearly numbers and thought they could raise like millions but it seems like a hurdle that will make people less likely to go to TERF island if they can't help it.

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[-] Eco@hexbear.net 57 points 1 month ago

just found out alberto fujimori died yesterday

rest in piss nerd

[-] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 57 points 2 months ago

I decided on whim to watch Iranian TV for a few minutes. I found a station IRINN and they were highlighting some drawings regarding Gaza. I missed screenshotting some of the better ones (because it’s live and I can’t go back) but I did manage to get this one, I quite like it:

[-] Boredom@hexbear.net 57 points 1 month ago

China is raising its retirement age, another L caused by not embracing immigration.

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[-] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 57 points 1 month ago

New Left Review on US inflation:

Three points are noteworthy. First, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure clearly understates inflation. It takes account of the ‘substitution’ that occurs when households shift to buying lower priced goods, effectively using households’ coping mechanisms as an excuse to artificially lower the inflation figures. It also gives a lower weighting to shelter costs, even though they have skyrocketed thanks to the housing bubble and the everything bubble. Second, since 2000, when the Federal Reserve accelerated its efforts to drive bubble-driven growth and changed its preferred inflation measure to PCE, the CPI has often been above the 2% target. No matter which inflation measure is used, inflation has generally been above interest rates during this period, making real interest rates negative. Finally, inflation today remains well above the 2% target, even if it has dipped below interest rates in recent months; yet the Federal Reserve flatly refuses to raise rates further, having brought them to 5.33% in July 2023. After all, this rise has already caused major ructions, from the failure of a string of banks beginning with Silicon Valley Bank to the instability in the commercial real estate, private equity and treasury markets and beyond.

Though the Federal Reserve claims that inflation is now down to 2.9% and predicts it will fall further, the Bureau of Labor Statistics disaggregation of the inflation numbers shows a rather different picture. While inflation has been dragged down by the lowering of food and energy prices, core inflation, a measure that excludes those prices because of their volatility, is still at 3.2%. With food and energy prices expected to increase in the coming months, not least thanks to continuing US and NATO warmongering, Powell’s declaration of victory may be premature.

What of his claim to have achieved a ‘soft landing’? There is equal reason to be sceptical. On the one hand, adverse jobs data suggest that a recession could still be looming. On the other, if interest rate cuts manage to prevent a recession, this leaves the door open to continuing inflation and ‘no landing’ at all. Raising the curtain on neoliberalism in 1979 with historically unprecedented rate hikes, the Federal Reserve has since, by nursing successive asset bubbles, deprived itself of the ability to use the only anti-inflationary weapon in its arsenal. Having arrogated to itself responsibility for managing the economy, it has now proven unable to do so.

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