this post was submitted on 07 Apr 2025
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Image is allegedly of the note Trump wrote while editing a speech while on the way back from the G20 summit.


The top Russian-Chinese agent, Donald Trump, has decided that the pace of dedollarization and the decline of American financial hegemony is going too slowly. He has therefore decided to put tariffs on everybody; from America's largest trading partners to uninhabited islands. In the process, he is trying to create an autarkic America. Jokes aside, interpretation and analysis of this has ranged across a wide spectrum. I think we can broadly agree that the most idiotic are the "true believers"; those that actually believe Trump's every word, and that this will somehow bring back American manufacturing and whatever other inane promises he has made.

However, there is a much more interesting debate. The first camp are those who believe Trump is acting as an inadvertent accelerationist due to his lack of understanding about how the world economy and dollar hegemony functions (and that this will subsequently ensure that countries flock to China instead). The second camp are those who believe that Trump does know what he's doing, at least to a certain extent, and that the effective result of this period of madness will be countries kowtowing to the United States; renegotiating trade deals to be even more in favor of the US in order to get tariffs reduced. There's even a yet more cynical camp who believes that in fact, this entire trade war is just theater for further national wealth redistributions from poor to rich; that all these monumental international trade wars are more of a sideshow. To quote the linked article: "[...] out of the mountain of tariffs that threaten to turn into a global trade war will emerge the mouse of further tax cuts."

I'm not embarrassed to admit that I have absolutely no idea which one of these is the closest model to reality. We're in new economic and political ground, and even if the tariffs are quickly renegotiated and/or dropped, the impacts will continue to reverberate around the world for years. I'm sure we'll debate this for months to come here, though!


Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] plinky@hexbear.net 8 points 1 hour ago

poor se-asia/africa/latam, trusting seppos. Although i feel the poster under-weighs the textile problem, this still might fuck them faster than nike of the world

[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 25 points 2 hours ago (1 children)

Going well in the market communities

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 13 points 2 hours ago* (last edited 2 hours ago) (2 children)

The S&P500 closed only -0,23% down today, the markets stabilised after the initial volatility, a repeat of "Black Monday" did not occur. It was foreign markets, particularly in the Asia Pacific region, that took the biggest hits. Though the S&P/ASX 200 in Australia just opened an hour or two ago, positively today, 0.8% up, so stabilising like the US markets did. But the volatility is probably scaring investors, as well as the large dips that already occured over the last few days, that the markets show no signs of initially bouncing back from and regaining.

[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 11 points 2 hours ago* (last edited 2 hours ago) (2 children)

I doubt it's over. EU retaliatory tariffs don't go into effect until May 16th. Some happen April 15th but I expect those are getting priced in currently.

I wouldn't be surprised if it goes stagnant in the uncertainty over the next few weeks.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 10 points 1 hour ago* (last edited 1 hour ago)

yep, markets have been stagnant since December, and on continuous decline since February.

i like drawdown as a measure

https://www.slickcharts.com/sp500/drawdown

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 7 points 2 hours ago* (last edited 1 hour ago)

Yeah it's definitely not over. But I'm not a financial expert or advisor, so I have no idea about future activity. I'm a lot more knowledgeable about military stuff than stock markets. But I agree with you, I think. Stagnation until shocks occurr.

[–] Sulv@hexbear.net 13 points 2 hours ago

Yeah it's cause they all had puts, everyone was expecting a bigger crash

[–] Sickos@hexbear.net 51 points 5 hours ago (2 children)

SC-USA issues administrative stay, Maryland dude will keep rotting in Salvadoran prison

[–] sewer_rat_420@hexbear.net 11 points 3 hours ago

well at least we are avoiding a constitutional crisis?

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 42 points 6 hours ago* (last edited 1 hour ago) (1 children)

US airstrikes on Yemen continue for the 24th night in a row, with five airstrikes reported in Marib Governorate.

More airstrikes on Kamaran Island.

Multiple rounds of airstrikes, with multiple strikes each in the capital city, Sana'a, as well as a wider range of airstrikes in different areas of Sana'a Governorate.

Multiple rounds of airstrikes in Marib Governorate.

Three rounds of further airstrikes in various areas of Marib Governorate, totalling 9 airstrikes. 5 in the first round, and two in the second and third rounds.

Graphic scenes on Al Masirah TV of civilian casualties from US airstrikes, including children. Just providing a warning before anyone clicks the link for updates themselves.

Al Masirah TV twitter

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Fox News' Chief National Security Correspondent, Jennifer Griffin, appears to confirm what has already been reported: B-2 Spirit stealth bombers are targeting underground facilities in Yemen, likely using GBU-57 MOP 30 000lb/14 000kg "bunker buster" bombs.

Jennifer Griffin tweet

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Also I missed this earlier, but I'll comment on it now. With air defences seemingly suppressed over key Ansarallah strongholds like the capital Sana'a, where residents were able to film and photograph a US MQ-9 Reaper drone flying visibly low over the capital city, it appears that the type of munitions used by the US Navy are changing. Large amounts of BLU-117 2000lb/900kg bombs (identified by the three yellow stripes at the tip) fitted with GBU-31 JDAM guidance kits were photographed on the US aircraft carrier Harry Truman. While these bombs have been used since the beginning of the campaign, they have not been pictured in such large numbers before, with more stand off longer range munitions like AGM-154 JSOWs, GBU-53 StormBreakers, and AGM-84 H/K SLAM-ER ATAs previously making up the majority of munitions used and photographed. So it seems as if we're entering a new phase of the US aerial campaign against Yemen, where US aircraft can operate with more freedom and drop more shorter range stand in munitions with minimal risk to the aircraft and pilots, whereas previously a large amount of stand off munitions had to be used to minimise risk.

[–] EllenKelly@hexbear.net 5 points 1 hour ago

Some of those yanks look happy about what theyre doing, they should quit. Dorks, killing civilians is what they train you for.

[–] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 53 points 7 hours ago (1 children)

POTUS: “I said, ‘we're going to try to get groceries down.’ Right? An old fashioned term, but a beautiful term — eggs.”

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