this post was submitted on 15 Feb 2026
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I see this come up a lot in discussions about voting in America. Postal votes disproportionately go to Democrats, hence the Democrats want to expand postal voting while Republicans want to restrict it (and insist there is totally a bunch of fraud going on).

I've googled with a few search engines and haven't found a convincing reason. Lots of evidence that the skew is real, but no explanation as to why. Indeed, if one just looks at demographics, one would expect postal voting to benefit Republicans by facilitating votes from people in the countryside who live far away from voting centers.

So what actually gives?

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[–] RBWells@lemmy.world 4 points 1 day ago

Republican voters skew older (retired) so if you make voting difficult for people, the ones with more free time are the ones more likely to vote.

The easier it is for everyone to vote, the less the Republicans are favored.

Mail in ballots would also favor rural voters but I guess there are not enough of them for the conservatives to worry about?

But in short - no, the mix of voters does not stay the same as it increases.

[–] Tollana1234567@lemmy.today 13 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (4 children)

its because poastal is harder to RIG and suppress than in person voting. gop controlled areas use voter machines that are often rigged. its also hard to voter suppress since closing polling stations, removing times and place likely doesnt affect how much votes get counted. thats why the GOP has to use things like voter purges, voter deregistration, voter ID(which is voter disenfranchisement to be honest) and the most recent tactic in the 2024 election, immediately STOP counting the votes.

[–] 1rre@discuss.tchncs.de 10 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Regarding rigging voting machines, that's conspiracy theory territory, however you did miss that Democrats are more likely to be working jobs where you can't easily take time off to vote, or it's that or lunch, or the time they give you isn't enough, so doing it in advance by post is pretty much the only way you can vote.

[–] I_Am_Lying@lemmy.org 3 points 1 day ago

Except where attempts are doucmented: https://www.votebeat.org/pennsylvania/2025/10/15/fulton-county-fined-for-allowing-access-to-voting-machine-2020-election/

Did get them in trouble though and the voting machines in question had to be removed. And the county got a fine. Also weird that it's a republican stronghold that let a 3rd party into their voting machines.

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[–] Hikermick@lemmy.world 12 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Leading up to the 2020 presidential election, Donald Trump urged his voters to vote in person while Democrats promoted voting by mail due to Covid pandemic. Steve Bannon was secretly recorded saying that this was the Trump Campaign's plan to falsely claim the election was stolen. Steve Bannon does not deny saying this. By law, votes can't be tallied until polls close. Mail in ballots take longer to process because envelopes have to be opened, info needs to be verified then the vote can be counted. In person ballot results are faster because verification has already taken place and in many places ballots are scanned waiting to counted by a machine. Of course this is how it went down.

So to answer your question, Republican voters have a distrust for mail in voting. Largely because a president of the United States told his supporters to vote in person. During a pandemic.

[–] Tollana1234567@lemmy.today 4 points 1 day ago

thats what they did in 2024 , they close the polls in many states as soon as he was leading in the numbers, if they hadnt done that harris wouldve won barely.

[–] jpreston2005@lemmy.world 32 points 2 days ago

The more people that vote, the more people vote democrat. republicans are doing literally everything they can to disenfranchise voters, because it's the only way they can win elections. I mean, they stole the last presidential election after failing to do it the previous time. I'm not so sure we'll have an election in 2028, the pipeline of "sending untrained militia into the streets hoping to spark an incident that allows them an excuse to invoke martial law and cancel elections" is running very smoothly.

[–] gedaliyah@lemmy.world 89 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Work.

Working people can't take off time to vote. Poor people can't take off time to vote. Students, teachers, can't take off time to vote. So in-person voting favors retirees, wealthy people, and business owners like farmers who can set their own hours.

[–] fizzle@quokk.au 33 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Transport too. For a poor person getting to a specific place on a specific day is a thing. It's probably doable but if it's not a priority... and both sides are the same... and your kid is unwell... and your vote doesn't really make a difference.

OTOH a postal vote is very achievable.

[–] its_prolly_fine@sh.itjust.works 11 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Voting in cities is crazy. Like hours long wait times, you have to be very determined to vote. In person voting is much easier in less densely populated areas. Cities tend to be more liberal.

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[–] YtA4QCam2A9j7EfTgHrH@infosec.pub 60 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Anything that increases access to polls helps Dems because people like their policies more than the cruelty at the heart of fascism

[–] Tollana1234567@lemmy.today 3 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

its also harder to suppress the votes, than in person. in person gop can restrict voting times, the places, and how long it remains open, and voting machines are rigged ALWAYS in GOP favor, plus they cant use other forms of voting suppression as easily. the same methods against DEM districts, they wont do in RED ones.

[–] humanspiral@lemmy.ca 10 points 2 days ago

voting favours dems. Easier voting favours voting.

[–] ChokingHazard@lemmy.world 28 points 2 days ago (17 children)

Because democrat voters out number Republican voters. If you increase the votes you increase the democrat votes by nature of increasing the number of votes collected. This isn’t factoring secondaries like demographics.

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[–] yogurt@lemmy.world 10 points 2 days ago

It's just covid, before covid mail votes were proportional, then voting by mail was encouraged to avoid spreading covid. That made the number of Democrats voting by mail go up and the number of Republicans go down out of spite. Republican politicians just followed the reflex of Republican voters to resent prosocial behavior and tried to make use of it.

[–] psycotica0@lemmy.ca 33 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Cities tend to be more democratic than their surrounding area, but also tend to be more densely populated. So you can have a situation like this with hours long lines in busy areas, which heavily disrupt people's ability to have their vote registered.

So! The answer to that problem is mail-in voting! Vote in advance, with no lines, on your schedule! But the problem with city voting isn't always an accident, and so mail-in voting has obviously got to go too.

But anyway, I think that's your answer. It swings Democrat because other things have already happened to make voting in Democrat areas worse in other ways, and this seemed like a good alternative.

[–] HobbitFoot@thelemmy.club 9 points 2 days ago

Yeah. It is important to note that mail-in voting is only like this in states executing various forms of voter suppression.

For western states that don't have this tradition of voter suppression, the results tend to be more mixed. For instance, Colorado saw Republicans get a bump when switching to mail-in ballots as it was thought that mobility hindered elderly voters found it easier to vote from home than have to travel to vote.

[–] RoidingOldMan@lemmy.world 44 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (2 children)

States with Republican control also have weird rules limiting number of polling places. Sometimes it's like "1 polling location per county" where a rural county of 5,000 does just fine with 1 polling location. But then a city with millions of people also gets 1. The goal is to create lines around the block in cities, where people will simply give up rather than vote. Cities favor Democrats, so Republicans try to limit voter turnout in cities.

Voting by mail completely eliminates these artificial hurdles.

[–] Tollana1234567@lemmy.today 2 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

also eliminating polling times to a few days, deregister people who allegedly dint vote for the past few elections, voting purges. and the new favorite is the ever oppressive voter ID, which isnt even a thing in a blue state.

[–] kurcatovium@piefed.social 8 points 2 days ago (2 children)

WTF? Is this true? That's insane! My mid/east European village with 2,5k people (including children) has 4 polling locations so nobody can argue it's too far for them. It's also possible to register yourself beforehand and than you can vote wherever you want (either inside the country or at embassy abroad).

[–] Tollana1234567@lemmy.today 2 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

in blue areas, polling stations are all over the place. in blue cities you have an option of dropping it a polling box like a mail box, or go to any polling station, i think some residents have been doing the community by having a polling area in thier house area, and some community center, libraries do the same.

red states remove all these options. in blue area you can register right there and vote too. red states you have register in weeks or months in advance, plus they can purge whenever they can.

[–] kurcatovium@piefed.social 1 points 1 day ago

Holy cow that is insane.

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[–] graycube@lemmy.world 35 points 2 days ago

When you can control where the polling locations are, you can drastically under serve areas that don't vote republican. This discourages or even makes completely impossible voting in some areas. I live in a wealthy republican suburb. In the last 25 years there has never been much of a line to vote at any time of day. I can usually get in, vote, and be out in 15 minutes. Within a 20 minute drive of me, there are polling locations that have lines which take many hours to get through. Many people have to take time off of work, or leave their kids home alone to vote. Some people can't stand in line for that long due to health issues.

While mail in voting enables traveling businessmen, college students, military, the elderly and sick to vote - which probably doesn't overly favor either party - it does disrupt the polling location engineering which is intentionally designed to favor one party over the other.

[–] susi7802@sopuli.xyz 13 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Maga still hasn’t figured out how to lick a stamp.

[–] Poik@pawb.social 8 points 2 days ago

Their poor wives.

[–] Lost_My_Mind@lemmy.world 6 points 2 days ago

That can't be true. Licking a stamp can't be much different than licking a boot.

I think it's more likely that they're illiterate. Mailing a letter requires you to write the destination address. Something they can't figure out.

[–] Hasherm0n@lemmy.world 7 points 2 days ago (1 children)

You've gotten some good answers already so I'm going to comment on something unrelated, mostly because I've had a couple glasses of wine and for some reason found this hysterical.

I've googled with a few search engines....

I'm old enough to remember search before Google, the rise of Google and the verbification of Google's name to become a term to meaning to search with Google. To see it now used in this way is deeply funny to me for some reason. Incredible to see how language evolves over time.

[–] Infrapink@thebrainbin.org 5 points 1 day ago (2 children)

I'm doing my part to genericise Google®'s trademark.

[–] BlackVenom@lemmy.world 3 points 1 day ago

Make a xerox for me while I hoover with my walkman on.

[–] Hasherm0n@lemmy.world 2 points 1 day ago

Keep fighting the good fight.

[–] ohulancutash@feddit.uk 33 points 2 days ago (2 children)

America is a hovel where there are few rights for workers. They literally can’t afford to take time off work to vote, and Republicans make it as hard as possible for them to vote in person, by removing transport options, and closing polls at ridiculously early times. Most Republican controlled states close polls at 7pm.

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[–] morphballganon@lemmy.world 12 points 2 days ago (1 children)

People who vote dem are people with more interesting things to do than stand in line for hours.

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[–] protist@mander.xyz 19 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (5 children)

Until very recently, Republicans had an edge in mail-in voting, however after Trump started deriding it, a not small number of Republican voters stopped using it.

Also skewing the numbers is that Democratic-led states largely allow everyone to vote by mail if they'd like, whereas Republican-led states strictly limit mail-in voting to people who meet certain criteria. This means that Democrats are overrepresented when you look at a national count. Oregon and Washington don't even have in-person voting, only vote by mail. Republican-led states limiting mail-in voting predates Trump though, because they try to limit anything they can related to voting.

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[–] amio@lemmy.world 11 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (1 children)

Access to voting is the foundation of democracy. Sane systems try to minimize any "pressure" to not vote, for any reason, because any such pressure is very likely to hit some demographics harder than others. The Republicans in particular rather blatantly rely on weaponizing this as a way of subverting democratic principles, by making it disproportionately hard to vote if you're working, or poor, or young, or a minority of pretty much any kind.

Therefore, anything that increases access to voting, and levels the playing field, is worse for the GOP than being able to keep up the status quo of voter suppression. Hence their extremely shrill opposition to mail, and also the ("hilarious") claims of "fraud" - painting the picture of your democracy being subverted is a handy talking point while you're busy subverting your democracy.

So the boring answer is that your question is sort of back-to-front: it's not that the mail ballots are skewed as such, it's that access to in-person voting is. Mail ballots favor the Democrats because it is their voter base that's (in this case, anyway) being suppressed.

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[–] Nemo@midwest.social 9 points 2 days ago

Postal voting is primarily employed by people who work full-time, have access to regular mail service, are younger, and have some amount of trust in government services.

Contrast with Republican mainstays: the well-to-do, rural areas, the elderly, and those who distrust the government.

Also it's self-reinforcing: the more Republican pundits link postal voting and fraud in their audience's minds, the less likely their voters are to use it, increasing the chance that depressing it will primarily harm opposition voters.

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