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[-] rustyfish@lemmy.world 106 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

His campaign managers are concerned he would say that publicly? Why?! Why do we still act like his cultists would be bothered? Why do we act like they have a fraction of humility and demeanour left in their bodies? They would love to hear that. Where the fuck have you been the last 8 years? Did you pay any attention?

[-] grte@lemmy.ca 66 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

The issue they have is, Trump can't win with just his base. He needs to appeal to at least some percentage of voters outside of that group. It seems like he's been doing everything he can to push anyone who isn't already all in on him away since Biden stepped down.

And yet Harris is only 2% in the lead.

America is a fucked up country. I pray for y’all.

[-] Hydra_Fk@reddthat.com 36 points 1 month ago

America is three countries in a trenchcoat.

According to an interesting book I read a couple years ago called american nations, more like 9

[-] rebelsimile@sh.itjust.works 10 points 1 month ago

Some scientists have posited the number could even be as high as 50.

[-] Archer@lemmy.world 9 points 1 month ago

We’re like the EU but with a fully federal budget and laws, which explains a lot

[-] FundMECFSResearch@lemmy.blahaj.zone 7 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

I used to be in favour of a federal europe until I saw America go to shit with Trump elected in 2016.

Now I’m more ambivalent. The confederation model sounds better…

(Confederation is an alliance where members retain sovriginity) Not talking about the US confederacy

[-] njm1314@lemmy.world 4 points 1 month ago

Half the reason Trump succeeds as much as he does is due to designed corruption at the state level. Republicans grabbing local elections and using them to upend the system. From psychotic school boards to regressive judges to grandstanding attorneys general.

[-] Archer@lemmy.world 3 points 1 month ago

Flip that reasoning entirely, my dude. If the feds ran elections fully then Trump wouldn’t have needed to make the call to the GA Sec of State to “find” more votes. He would have just fired people until he got a yes from whatever federal employee could do it

[-] njm1314@lemmy.world 1 points 1 month ago

No, because that's the entire point of project 2025. He wants to replace all those federal employees with political appointments so that he can actually do things like that. Trump would have loved it if he could just fire people until they do what he tells them to do. Thankfully that's not how most the federal government works. He wants to be able to control every Federal agency but thankfully that's not the way it's set up. It will be if he's elected though.

[-] Hydra_Fk@reddthat.com 3 points 1 month ago

Cool I'll give it a read.

[-] Drivebyhaiku@lemmy.world 7 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

I think of America more as a swarm of 50 plus angry pigeons tied together at the neck with string.

[-] Hydra_Fk@reddthat.com 2 points 1 month ago
[-] Drivebyhaiku@lemmy.world 1 points 1 month ago

Wouldn't that be if they were connected at the tail? This is more of a disorganised avian garroting caused by a constant futile bid for meaningful independence.

[-] Hydra_Fk@reddthat.com 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Pigeon king.

Land of confusion.

Clink of coin.

[-] nifty@lemmy.world 15 points 1 month ago

Trump has never won the popular vote, his 2016 victory was based on highly gerrymandered areas with low populations and a high number of electoral votes. America is being held hostage by wealthy donors.

Yet he was leading in popular vote pols for a solid 9 months before Biden dropped out. If Biden had stayed, he would likely have won the popular vote.

[-] nifty@lemmy.world 7 points 1 month ago

We’ll never know, the only “poll” which matters is the election.

A poll is just an estimate. Obviously we will never know. But were the election held a couple months ago (vs Biden) Trump would have about an 85% chance of winning according to the best statistical models. (Source: used to work as data scientist for a major pollster and obsess over this stuff for fun)

[-] seth@lemmy.world 4 points 1 month ago

What were the projected odds for Clinton beating Trump in 2016? I remembered it being nearly a sure thing in the reported research polls but I may be remembering it completely wrong.

[-] FundMECFSResearch@lemmy.blahaj.zone 5 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

60% about

Problem is media reports on 60% as if it is a sure thing, when 40% is a really big chance…

[-] seth@lemmy.world 5 points 1 month ago

Yeah that's much worse than I thought. I also remember thinking, "there's no way that many people are so willfully ignorant and will also vote." How wrong I was.

[-] don@lemm.ee 6 points 1 month ago

I pray for y’all.

The US already has millions of Christians.

[-] FlyingSquid@lemmy.world 5 points 1 month ago

She's also been running for less than a month.

Well Biden was 2 points behind if you want to compare

[-] JimSamtanko@lemm.ee 5 points 1 month ago

We need far more than prayers.

[-] Today@lemmy.world 3 points 1 month ago

He said the other day in the interview that his base is 75% of America, so...

[-] originalfrozenbanana@lemm.ee 2 points 1 month ago

That is a problem they are trying to solve yes

[-] tate 17 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

They aren't worried about alienating his base. They don't want to galvanize hers.

[-] Orbituary@lemmy.world 11 points 1 month ago

They don't care if he says it. They just care if he gets caught saying it. Big distinction. They know their candidate is a racist shit bag.

[-] riskable@programming.dev 10 points 1 month ago

"That is not language President Trump has used to describe Kamala, and it's not how the campaign would characterize her."

The most interesting thing about this statement is they have set Trump up to fail. Because you know he's going to say that into a microphone at some point during this campaign.

[-] FuglyDuck@lemmy.world 8 points 1 month ago

I think they have a saboteur.

Or they’re just that incompetent. But you’re right.

[-] FlyingSquid@lemmy.world 2 points 1 month ago
[-] HWK_290@lemmy.world 5 points 1 month ago
[-] rustyfish@lemmy.world 5 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

20 bucks, he will say it during their live debate. If it happens. Last time I checked, Donnie chickened out.

[-] nulluser@programming.dev 4 points 1 month ago

And it won't make an ounce of difference if he does. Access Hollywood proved that already.

[-] Wiz@midwest.social 10 points 1 month ago

"It's ok. He says negative things about a lot of people."

This is the excuse I got when I pointed out video of TFG mocking the disabled reporter to a die-hard Trumper. Also, she has a kid with Downs. Still didn't break the Trump spell over her. She used to be normal.

this post was submitted on 10 Aug 2024
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