this post was submitted on 10 Feb 2026
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It's a waste of money if your primary goal is defending against the US, yes. Which is another reason why all the handwringing about how the US could potentially compromise the F-35 is really kind of silly. Truth is, if they wanted to attack us, they wouldn't need any kind of magical "Kill switch", they could just rely on old fashioned air superiority.
I'm still a huge advocate for signing a deal for the Gripen anyway (as stated above, I like the mixed fleet idea the best), because it gives us a lot of economic advantages, allows us to become an exporter of fighter aircraft to the rest of NATO and numerous other countries, and starts building up domestic air production that can then be converted to putting out Saab's new 6th Gen fighter when that's finally ready for prime time.
But if we consider our biggest realistic air threat to be Russia - Note that I said "biggest", not "only", trust me I am in no way dismissing the threat of a potential US invasion (in such an eventuality I'm on the list of people who die or get arrested in the first 8 hours, I do not fucking need to hear it) - then yes we absolutely do need the ability to patrol our own skies, especially if we end up in what is still the more likely geopolitical scenario right now, which is that the US abandons any notion of defence obligations to their allies as they grow increasingly isolationist.
A contingent of, say, 40 F-35s doesn't sound like a lot, but when those 40 planes have the ability to shoot down anything Russia can field without even being seen, that actually makes a massive difference in their ability to operate in our airspace. Right now Russia barely has 4th gen craft. The Felon is a lie wrapped up in a cool video package; it's radar signature is fucking massive, and we've seen from Ukraine that Russia's own radar capabilities are mediocre at best. And they have, optimistically, 6 of them. Anything else they have is so far outclassed by the F-35 that it would be like Challenger 2s going up against T-55s in Iraq. That's a hell of a lot of deterrence for comparatively little cost really.