El Chisme

Yes. I'm sure a reasonable way to estimate it could be found based on how capital is tied up in space and time. Local, slow circulating and high constant capital vs global, fast circulating and high variable capital. The latter might be more likely to side with or be subjugated by the empire. China is shifting to the former. (One problem is, that high constant capital firms are often also global.)

However, like in our own struggle, it's not enough to be a class that has a natural interest. You also need to be conscious of that interest to act on it. Consciousness might be forced by rising contradictions. But I don't feel like most of these national factions of capital would join a united front soon. Most of them might turn to open fascism first before they ally with us. It's an important question to explore.

Granted, maybe I'm oversimplifying here. Imperialism vs fascism. Aren't they two sides of the same coin? I'm sure there is a dialectic here. Still the question will inevitably pose itself and not just in Europe: with whom to ally as socialists? A united front against imperialism for national liberation even with factions of national capital? Or a popular front against facism even with liberals and social democrats? Even if either of them is formed successfully, both would try to betray us sooner or later. Or is there a third way ?

I really like that idea, and you csn take woodenghost's idea

how capital is tied up in space and time

to consider how you can categorize certain sectors in econmic data as being the material base for certain intra-class divisions within the bourgeoisie.

Obviously the below would be improved with better theory and actual data, but an initial idea could be distinguishing sectors like finance from sectors like manufacturing, agriculture, or mining.

The former (finance) may tend to be more cosmopolitan and/or have shared interests of American capital.

The latter may tend to have a more national characteristic. Due to the spatial nature of resource extraction, and the locality of the labor they exploit, their interests may be tied in more naturally with economic conditions "at home".

Then you can include known actors, groups, etc too.

At least thats an idea thay I've been exposed to.

Even if the above is too simplistic I think the idea of looking at particular sectors within economic data, and integrating that with known political groups and networks can be a springboard for answering that question.

Input output tables would have data on such sectoral divisions, but aren't the only answer. International input output tables would then tell you how each sector of capital depends on others on the global level.

Also, you're already working with input output tables (sorry I haven't been responding!) so extending what you've done to the international stage is the next natural direction.

It's good to see that my obsession with getting the small details right finally paid off.

The great minds of Hexbear think alike.