this post was submitted on 16 Mar 2026
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[–] mlg@lemmy.world 6 points 19 hours ago (2 children)

The real kicker is that this is from people who bet against Iran striking Israel.

Wouldn't even bet my life Israel's iron dome is invincible, especially considering Iran already successfully broke through it last year.

Or you know, Gaza a bunch of times with pipe rockets.

[–] Coleslaw4145@lemmy.world 5 points 15 hours ago* (last edited 15 hours ago)

The thing about these missile defence systems is that, regardless of how advanced a system is, it can always be overcome by sheer volume of fire.

A common tactic is to saturate the sky with cheaper dummy missiles/drones that don't even have warheads, just to deplete missile defence stockpiles and protect the real missiles/drones from being intercepted.

This is happening a lot in Ukraine too.

TLDR; You're right to believe Iron Dome isn't invincible because there's no such thing as an invincible missile defence system.

[–] TronBronson@lemmy.world 1 points 16 hours ago

That’s thee dumbest bet i could imagine.

[–] deathbird@mander.xyz 17 points 1 day ago

The "gamble on news" site causing psychos to threaten journalists wasn't something I expected, but I blame a lack of imagination on my part regarding human depravity.

[–] Bakkoda@lemmy.world 38 points 1 day ago

We should make sure every person on the Internet has their identity confirmed at the device level and then we can punish these people for writing the wrong Iran story.

  • Department of War
[–] wavebeam@lemmy.world 30 points 1 day ago (1 children)

The only way to fight this is to make a new bet on polymarket to profit off the odds that this journalist is killed by the gamblers in polymarket.

[–] Krauerking@lemy.lol 14 points 1 day ago (1 children)

I was thinking it was just to not use polymarket but dang... I guess I was wrong.

[–] wavebeam@lemmy.world 6 points 1 day ago (1 children)

nah, "vote with your wallet" can never work! You can only contribute to the problem more until it can't go any further!

(i am not serious about any of this. a sane society would reject the existence of these "businesses" swiftly. if only...)

[–] BigPotato@lemmy.world 3 points 16 hours ago

Vote with your wallet works if everyone agrees with you...

And the amount of people that love gambling makes it clear that most people do not agree with me.

[–] imetators@lemmy.dbzer0.com 32 points 1 day ago (2 children)

US: promotes no gambling to children by suing Valve and their lootboxes mechanics

Also US: has an app where anyone can gamble on real life events.

🤷‍♂️

[–] Soulg@ani.social 8 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Polymarket is (or was, anyway) not operating within the US. These are non US people threatening the journalist.

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[–] AnotherUsername@lemmy.ml 15 points 1 day ago (1 children)

So what happens to him if he does change the story? Like... The new losers will be PISSED at him. It's a no-win situation.

[–] JackbyDev@programming.dev 6 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

Also, the video of the strike clearly exists. If he changes the story there will be many other outlets reporting on the sudden change, the bets, the public requests for the change, and showing the video which apparently clearly shows a strike on Israel's soil.

[–] Sam_Bass@lemmy.world 14 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Shame death threats aren't prosecutable

[–] Krauerking@lemy.lol 9 points 1 day ago

Hey, in this world even child rape isn't, so I don't know what we expect.

[–] Grandwolf319@sh.itjust.works 44 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Holy shit.

Not only this is horrifying cause of the threats, it’s also very unsettling that something with such a recipe for disaster would attract so many rubes to be a working business model.

[–] BeMoreCareful@lemmy.world 13 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Yeah, it sort of makes me wonder how many bets have been fixed already.

I'm guessing a lot. Our wealthy like to gamble and are not normally subject to justice.

Distressing is right, there's a lot of potential there. Especially with all the didling going on indicated by the Epstein files.

[–] Krauerking@lemy.lol 5 points 1 day ago

There was an article recently about some account called like "magamaster###" creating a bet about Iran, winnining $900,000 and all within the span of about 2 days before just disappearing.

Pretty sure the people that win aren't doing it by luck anymore.

[–] GoofSchmoofer@lemmy.world 80 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (2 children)

“If you decide to go with your ego and not with your head, you are leaving behind dozens of wealthy people from all over the world who will know that you performed market manipulation and stole from them. They know who you are, you don’t know who they are. It took them less than 5 minutes to find out exactly where you live … how often you see your lovely parents … and exactly who your … brothers and sisters are.”

So the guy threatening the journalist to change his story so the gambler can make money isn't market manipulation, but the journalist not changing his story is....

What scary about this, and it was mentioned in the article, is how future stories by less than ethical "journalist" can be purchased so that one side can become rich. Fuck accuracy it's all about the money.

Well it's not like that is already the case with social media, but I would like to think there is at least some aspect of reporting that is based in ethics and truth.

[–] P00ptart@lemmy.world 45 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Polymarket is one of many direct evidence of the impending fall of society.

[–] T156@lemmy.world 36 points 1 day ago (5 children)

It's one of those things that would seem excessive in a story.

A place so decadent that everything was to bet for. Even as the world ended around them, they gambled on how.

[–] NihilsineNefas@slrpnk.net 22 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

It's the real life version of the intro to Cyberpunk 2077, with the radio host talking about bets on the death toll in Night city.

[–] tiramichu@sh.itjust.works 16 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

Cyberpunk was supposed to be a dystopia, not a fucking instruction manual!

But seriously, I've lost about all enjoyment in cyber-dystopian stories because these days they cut depressingly close to home.

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[–] redhorsejacket@lemmy.world 4 points 1 day ago

A place so decadent that everything was to bet for. Even as the world ended around them, they gambled on how.

[–] starman2112@sh.itjust.works 4 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

20 years ago, if you wrote a story about a dystopian future sci-fi setting that included polymarket, readers would interpret it as a heavy-handed metaphor for widespread cynicism and derealization

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[–] Krauerking@lemy.lol 35 points 2 days ago

Oh yeah, it is messed up and doesnt even cover the section where apparently another journalist the writer knows was bribed to try and coerce the flow of information to get that win. It basically confirms that there is already a willing lack of integrity somewhere to think it would work here.

A few hours later, a colleague from another media outlet messaged me. He said that someone he knew asked him to ask me to change the report on the missile impact in Beit Shemesh, and that it would be “negligible” for me if I did make the change.

Going further, the acquaintance even offered the journalist compensation, from his winnings, if he managed to convince me to change my report.

[–] TheAlbatross@lemmy.blahaj.zone 171 points 2 days ago (4 children)

What a stupid world we've allowed to be concocted.

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[–] a4ng3l@lemmy.world 136 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Most cyberpunk read today.

How that shit is not illegal is beyond me. Gambling is already predatory but outside of sports and in fucking armed conflicts is abhorrent.

[–] Evotech@lemmy.world 16 points 1 day ago (1 children)

We are in the crime is legal era

[–] GraniteM@lemmy.world 7 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Crime is legal... to the degree that you are sufficiently connected.

🔲 - White

🔲 - Male

🔲 - Cis

🔲 - Hetero

🔲 - Christian (preferably conservative evangelical Protestant)

🔲 - Politically conservative

🔲 - Wealthy

The more of these you can check off, the more crimes are legal.

"For my friends, everything. For my enemies, the law."

[–] Samskara@sh.itjust.works 5 points 1 day ago

Crime is legal for the powerful.

Skin color and religion varies by country.

[–] explodicle@sh.itjust.works 6 points 1 day ago

Because Trump took charge of the SEC. The crypto just handles payments - the market itself is centralized and exists with the permission of the state.

Wake me up when there's a bet that angers people in power, it gets censored, and someone launches a fully p2p version.

[–] gravitas_deficiency@sh.itjust.works 95 points 2 days ago (6 children)

So uh… what are the odds on polymarket for the guy getting killed?

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[–] phoenixz@lemmy.ca 50 points 2 days ago (13 children)

Polymarket is one of the largest prediction markets in the world, where users can wager their money on the likelihood of future events, using cryptocurrency, debit or credit cards, and bank transfers.

So this is a market place where rich people can bet on how gruesome poor people can die in war zones and genocides. Is this any different from the rich hunting the poor for sport? Instead of a trigger, they click a button, but it's not that different.

Isn't humanity awesome? Can we please start jailing these (or at this point, all) psychopaths?

Seriously, 99% of the population consists of awesome people that take care of one another. The problem is that psychopaths, like the ones from the article, have the need to be on top and control everything and we let them.

Seriously, as far as I can tell, humanity could kill a few 10.000s psychopaths and all of the sudden, no more wars, no more hunger, no more conflicts, no more senseless pollution, the world could heal and humanity could enter a phase of sustainable awesomeness.

No. I am not suggesting we kill them, it was just to make the point. However, I do feel we need to start testing people for psychopathy (as far as possible and work in better screening) to ensure we keep these fuckers from positions of power and money. We need to stop psychopaths from gaining any real power.

Hell, if it were up to me, nobody would get great power or money. I'd have a world wide wealth cap, nobody can be worth over, say 1 or 10 million. Anything over that goes to taxes. THAT will stop people.frok amassing great wealth and power and just stop this shit

For the website: I wish people were still masquerading as Anonymous and would just continuously hack this site into the ground where it belongs, next to its disgusting creators.

Fuck I hate this world :(

[–] hanrahan@slrpnk.net 1 points 17 hours ago

Seriously, 99% of the population consists of awesome people that take care of one another.

hmmmm

Susan Sontag was asked what she had learned from the Holocaust, and she said that 10% of any population is cruel, no matter what, and that 10% is merciful, no matter what, and that the remaining 80% could be  moved in either direction” —Kurt Vonnegut

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[–] solidheron@sh.itjust.works 55 points 2 days ago

Time to boost this post. I have received death threats from Zionist, but I have a feeling these poly market people are scarier since they have money on the line

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