this post was submitted on 16 Jun 2025
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Bulletins and News Discussion from June 16th to June 22nd, 2025 - Iran, Harden Your Heart
(hexbear.net)
Image is of destruction and damage inside Israel, sourced from this article.
Iran and Israel have struck each other many times over the last few days. There has been a general focus on military facilities and headquarters by both sides, though Israel has also struck oil facilities, civilian structures and hospitals, and in return for this, Iran has struck major scientific centers and the Haifa oil facilities.
Israel appears to have three main aims. First, to collapse the Iranian state, either through shock and breakdown by killing enough senior officials, or via some sort of internal military coup. Second, to try and destroy Iranian nuclear sites and underground missile cities, or at least to paralyze them long enough to achieve the first and third goals. And third, to bring the US into a direct conflict with Iran. This is because the US better equipped to fight them than Israel is (though victory would still not be guaranteed depending on what Iran chooses to do).
Iranian nuclear facilities are hidden deep underground (800 meters), far beyond the depth range of even the most powerful bunker busters (~70 meters or so), and built such that the visible ground entrances are horizontally far away in an unknown direction from the actual underground chambers. Only an extremely competent full-scale American bombing force all simultaneously using multiple of the most powerful conventional (perhaps even nuclear) bunker busters could even hypothetically hope to breach them (and we have seen how, in practice, American bunker busters have largely failed to impair or deter Ansarallah). There are several analysts on both sides who have concluded that it is entirely impossible to physically prevent Iran from building nukes.
I fully expect the US to join the war. I believe the current ambiguity is a deliberate invention of the US while they work to move their military assets into position, and as soon as they are ready, the US will start bombing Iran. After that, Iran's leadership must - if they haven't already - harden their hearts, and strike back with no fear, or risk following the path of Libya, Syria, and Iraq, either into either surrender, occupation, or annihilation. Every day where they do not possess a nuke is a day where lives are being lost and cities are being bombed.
Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Colonel Nathan McCormack, who leads the Levant and Egypt branch at the Joint Chiefs of Staff’s J5 planning directorate, has used a semi-anonymous account to post numerous comments targeting Israeli actions and US support.
Stuff he posted
Netanyahu and his Judeo-supremacist cronies are determined to prolong the conflict for their own goals: either to remain in power or to annex the land.”
“Israel’s actions over decades have prompted the accusations of ethnic cleansing and genocide.”
“The Western states go to great lengths to avoid criticism of Israel, much out of Holocaust guilt.”
“Our worst ‘ally.’ We get literally nothing out of the ‘partnership’ other than the enmity of millions of people in the Middle East, Africa and Asia.”
“The US has not been an honest broker. We have overwhelmingly enabled Israel’s bad behavior.”
“Israel want “to expel them and cleanse ‘Eretz Israel’ (Greater Israel) of ethnic Palestinians.”
Since June 2024 he also called Israel a “death cult”
Colonel Nathan McCormack go on Chapo
all these arrested Mossad agents , does anybody have more details on the Modus Operandi ?
like are they Israeli Citizens that learned accent free Farsi for 20 years in deepcover super agent stylo - Or are these like hired thugs via the internet ?
Most likely the latter.
mix of genuine agents and recruited dissidents i think
the genuine agents - are they like 20 years undercover sleeper super zionist 007's- or like "Documentray Filmmakers" visiting - with Iranian incompetence doing the rest.
Wreckage of a downed Israeli Hermes drone in Isfahan
To change the mood a bit, some news from our favourite hellscape on earth, Ukraine.
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Russians have established a sizable buffer zone in Sumy Oblast, and are now just ~20km from Sumy City itself. They definitely won't go for the city though, the plan seems to be to entrench in the massive forest next to the city and start harassing AFU groupings inside the city with smaller drones.
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Russians have officially crossed into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, in the direction of the town of Novopavlivka. Entering Dnipropetrovsk means that Russians can now outflank the bigger Ukrainian fortifications in the south from both the north and the east, which will be vital if Russia ever goes on the offensive in the Zaporozhye direction.
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The noose around both Konstantinivka and Pokrovsk-Myrnograd is getting tighter and tighter after a smaller AFU collapse in the section in between the cities. The summer will likely see a Russian offensive towards Rodynske or Bilytske north of Pokrovsk, and Toretske north of Konstantinivka, which will effectively put both cities under operational encirclement with no actual roads for resupply.
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Manpower issues for the AFU in general are becoming very obvious at this stage, and they're unable to plug all holes at once like they could a few months ago. They managed to stop the bleeding near Lyman a few weeks ago, but that came with the cost of losing significant ground near Toretsk, Siversk, Konstantinivka and in the north near Sumy. Russians are now doing small pushes across the whole front except Kherson and north of Kharkov, which is just too much for the AFU to handle. To stop the breakthrough near Pokrovsk a few months ago, they rotated some of the units that were active in the former Kursk occupied zone. The result was that Russian advances slowed down near Pokrovsk, but Russians were suddenly able to seize an important chunk of the Kursk-Sumy border region.
Norway's Labour government will implement a national ban on trade with companies that facilitate Israel's illegal occupation of Palestinian land. This comes as a result of the socialist left party's negotiations on a revised state budget, and continuing pressure from the norwegian confederation of trade unions (LO).
Norway's massive sovereign wealth fund has continually dragged its feet on the issue of excluding companies that facilitate and profit from the occupation of Palestine from the wealth fund's portfolio (such as it did with Russia in 2022), even though finance minister (and former NATO chief) Jens Stoltenberg has admitted under oath that he has the power to do so at any moment.
Will Norway do more than China for Palestine now?
Via Al Mayadeen
According to Turkey’s Doğru Haber newspaper, Israeli warplanes violated Turkish airspace, triggering an immediate military response.
Alert levels were raised, as Turkish Air Forces scrambled F-16 jets and issued radio warnings that ultimately forced the Zionist aircraft to retreat.
According to the newspaper, Turkish forces intensified monitoring along the eastern border using round-the-clock early warning systems.
Doğru Haber described the Israeli breach as a serious escalation, warning that the war is no longer confined to the region but now directly threatens Turkey’s national security. The newspaper suggested the Israeli airspace violation may have been a calculated move to test Turkey’s air defense capabilities.
I don't understand this at all
Turkey is in control of Syria through the proxy they built in Jolani.
The Greater Israel project requires taking a large chunk of Syria.
This puts them in conflict with Turkey.
while there is a bit of squabbling over the corpse of syria going on, i think it's moreso an erdogan posturing for his domestic audience situation
If the influence Turkey has over Syria weren't significant I do not think the PKK would have disbanded.
If they manage to topple Iran, zionist bloodlust wouldn't stop there, just like it didn't stop with the subjugation of Syria, Egypt and Jordan. Suddenly they will get bloodlust for Sinai again, or the rest of Syria, or even fucking Turkey.
There's nothing to really understand. It's all just a performance designed to create the illusion that Turkey doesn't fully support Israel. It's political theater, staged so the Turkish public can feel better about their position in a NATO-aligned, subservient state.
Good news, the zionists are deranged and prone to bizarre miscalculations
draw turkey/nato into the conflict?
starting a NATO civil war would be a very funny miscalculation from the entity
I think the last couple of years have really shown what a pathetic POS Zelensky and co are. Like, they are literally sacrificing the future of their entire country and its people for a proxy war that even their master, America, has grown bored of.
If it wasn't glaringly obvious back in 2022, it's basically a confirmed fact now that the entire conflict is one giant American scheme to weaken Russia and shackle the EU to the USA. Seeing daddy America divert everything to the genocidal entity and forgetting Ukraine should be a gigantic slap in the face to anyone still actually stupid enough to think that this conflict is about muh freeDUMBs and stopping evil Putler.
There is a 0% chance that Ukraine will join NATO or that America will militarily intervene on the side of Ukraine (LOL), and even joining the EU is a distant fantasy. Zelensky's 1940s Nazi collaborationist fantasy of Ukraine being the "Israel of Europe" and the imperial core's new attack dog will never ever happen because Ukraine will never be as valuable as Israel is. America is literally on the verge of starting a new disastrous and unpopular war (Even MAGAts are split over this one) over Israel's unquenchable bloodlust. It's both truly sad and pathetic to see idiots laud Zelensky as a great leader while he is sending generations of men into the meat grinder as a kind of advertisement of Ukraine's servility and bootlicking skills to the West. All while Blackrock literally steals everything that's remotely valuable in the entire country.
Lol NYT columnist only just learned israel has nukes from mission impossible 9
this is so cute
Paramount Pictures confirms
So no American involvement yet?
would be a real shame if "Iran" would now attack some random US base .. they are Crazed religious fanatics , anything can happen...
no big century-defining moment either from iran?
both sides chickening out? last minute negotiations happening via backchannels? calm before the storm?
The century defining moment of nothing ever happens
they said we would remeber it for centuries to come - and i mean - we could .. it was the 17.06.2025 when a Fatah -1 missile evaded interception.
IACO 🌮
(very nice of them to both start with I in english)
afaik, nothing beyond the status quo american involvement with the zionist regime
Our big wet boy is wetter than ever
Interesting set of commentaries. They are incredibly harsh towards Iran, but from a realpolitiks perspective:
https://nitter.net/PandemicTruther/status/1935021769762451584
https://nitter.net/PandemicTruther/status/1934358798904541316
https://nitter.net/PandemicTruther/status/1933980879996752224
My comments assuming the massive long threads are true:
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The reformers have sold Iran down the river. They have done a whole lot harm, partially due to betrayal and partially due to general dumbassery on account of being useless libs. A lot of them need to be swinging from cranes, starting with this shithead: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mohammad_Javad_Zarif Seriously, go read the article. It has charming sentences like "Even though the United States did not make a promised reciprocal goodwill gesture at the time, Zarif remained committed to improving ties."
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As soon as the West accuses a country of having WMDs, that country is now on a timetable. It has to get WMDs and turn the West's otherwise baseless accucation into a self-fulfilling prophecy or it will be destroyed. I think Iran tried to pivot the accusation into a form of strategic ambiguity, but like everyone here has said, they should've acquired nukes by any means necessary.
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China will never militarily support Iran. That's Pakistan's job. China is the carrot while Pakistan is the stick. 80% of Pakistan's weapons come from China after all, so any military action due by Pakistan should be understood (and is being understood) as a military action done by China. If China truly doesn't want Pakistan to militarily intervene in Iran, a single phone call is all they need to get Pakistan to stand down. Any potential military action done by Pakistan against the Zionist entity would have been vetted and cosigned by China. I would not put it past China to officially condemn Pakistan should Pakistan intervene. But it's all kayfabe.
As an aside, I really hope they're not some anti-vaxxer crank lol
As soon as the West accuses a country of having WMDs, that country is now on a timetable. It has to get WMDs and turn the West's otherwise baseless accucation into a self-fulfilling prophecy or it will be destroyed. I think Iran tried to pivot the accusation into a form of strategic ambiguity, but like everyone here has said, they should've acquired nukes by any means necessary.
It's frustrating to me that this apparently wasn't their conclusion as soon as Iraq / WMD stuff all went down how it did. That's a direct case-study of this point.
PandemicTruther
maybe they're fort detrick-pilled?
other than the name seems spot on. I've long been despairing about Pez and I bet it's his people leaking like sieves. Lock em up, they should be put in a padded cell for the next few months as the hardliner adults handle the war they stumbled into. Why are the only rational faction in Iranian politics the absolute hardline theocrats? It's so weird how there's not any more rational and loyal socially progressive factions, even if they are conservatives by our standards, given how educated and developed Iran is?
I do think after this is all said and done Iran needs to look inwards and do some major reforms, they need to advance socially and make whole some contradictions that have been chewing their social fabric apart. We love Iranian hardliner's foreign policy stances, but they have a lot of enemies for being absolute shit heels to their own people too. Obviously right now is not the time though, now is the time for unity and war. Sometimes war is illuminating and progresses a society, like China in WW2 or the American Civil War leading to slavery being abolished and the slaves freed even though neither side even wanted that at the start.
I 100% agree. The Iranian people will suffer greatly due to the irresponsible mismanagement by the reformers, but the Zionist operatives and treacherous elements of Iranian society are outing themselves as we speak. In times of war, everyone falls in their respective lines.
Perhaps once the reformers and various US-backed fake leftists like MEK have been purged, there will be political space for a real authentic progressive movement that is less socially reactionary but are still loyal to Iran. But this has to wait. They have a war to win.
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