Canada

It's not totally irrational to expect lower gas prices. I think many people who don't know much about the details of how the system works think - more domestic oil production - lower gas price. And that can absolutely be true under a national infrastructure policy where enough of this infrastructure is under gov't control so that domestic gas supply can be decoupled from international markets. I think people implicitly assume this would be a part of the deal. Of course that could only happen under a leftist government which is not what we've got. I don't think people make that connection, cause it would mean they have to face that the gov't (many of them voted for) doesn't represent their interests.

Churchill MB seems to want one.

Logistically challenging, but if there's an actual market for a new pipeline, it might be a better option than doing through the Rockies and negotiating with First Nations that simply aren't interested. Manitoba seems to have buy-in from a lot of Indigenous communities, at least at this early stage of the game (so early that you could argue it's not really a "stage" at all).

But there's also a significant possibility that despite whatever letters of understanding we have with Germany or whoever, the market simply isn't there, or won't be within a few years. Asia is steadily moving to renewables, and Europe probably isn't too far behind.

It's worse than that. We move oil through the US in order to reach our refineries. That said I'm very skeptical this gov't would address this vulnerability.

The bullshit is Oil cos can afford to build these things themselves, if they really want to. they've got permission, but they won't throw down the money, because it wouldn't be profitable for them. So why would it be profitable for Canada to do it?

It might create a few construction jobs short term, maybe. But realistically, the oil and gas industry relies pretty heavily on automation, and most of the companies involved are not even Canadian.

But you can still imagine convincing poeple to say they support the construction of a pipeline. "Do you think Canada needs to be more of a producer and net exporter of energy? Do you think energy production is leverage we can use to defend ourselves? Given that the petrol industry has significantly boosted Canada's economy, and unemployment is above 6%, do you think we need these big expensive government projects to give people jobs? Do you worry about the resilience of the CPP given Canada's dwindling manufacturing sector, or the decline of Canadian tech innovators?" etc etc etc

if you ask right (or arguably wrong) questions, you'll get a yes. it may not reliably measure sentiment towards overreliance on the oil and gas industry.

or maybe it does, what do I know