What are the odds he invades Mexico to fight the cartels he just labelled as terrorist organizations?
this post was submitted on 23 Jan 2025
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The right wing cranks have been talking about it for a few years. It'd be an amazingly stupid decision to start a border war with a neighboring ally when they also want to have a war with China
The USA needs to pressure test US command structures, communication tools, ground tactics, etc. The border with Mexico is the safest place to do this, both tactically and strategically. Propaganda is strong against the cartels, the troops are domestically stationed instead of stationed in a host country, the Mexican army isn't strong enough to resist much, and the European world sees Mexico as a backwater.
This is part of the ramp up to hot conflict with China.
How the hell was 20 years in Afghanistan not an adequate pressure test?
Because it yielded the wrong answer.
They need a win to build morale before going for the prize, I guess.
Amerikkkan soldiers high off their "victory" (an insurgency is still ongoing) over Mexico when they see 400000 PLAGF nanodrones descend on their humvee right as a hypersonic levels their FOB: 
To be honest, war has changed quite a bit against Afghanistan. I'm sure they do have plenty of things to test. Though, this is all pointless in the big picture, as Mexico is by no means a "peer" enemy. It wouldn't be anything like fighting Russia or China.
Any country that's "hostile" to the "international community" that doesn't also have a healthy budget towards developing or acquiring Lancet type weapons is being run by maniacs.
I'm not sure, exactly. Possibly because it was all about having a forward operating base against China they couldn't test certain things without exposing themselves to Chinese intelligence. Fighting domestically allows them to do so without revealing as much.
So you're saying it will definitely happen
I mean... looks like they will.
Presumably lithium has something to do with it but I guess they could be quite honest about their intentions as given but the rest of the military-industrial are going with it for lithium. Plus a chance to blow up assets and free up stuff for profits, I dunno
Given the US's tendencies to get involved in military adventures, it seems like a possibility, but at the same time, directly invading Mexico is quite far from their MO and I don't think their army is built for such a type of war.
while im sure theyre ideologically stupid, i can't imagine mexican-americans in the US army being ok with something like that.
Not very high, in my opinion.
Odds of Trump invading Mexico to coup Sheinbaum using the pretext that she is assisting terrorist organizations in Mexico? I'd wager my meager savings on it.
There are only two outcomes, the US eats shit super hard and barely makes it to the outskirts of Monterrey, or it steam rolls the entirety of Mexico in some Iraq 2003 style scheme that most likely involved paying off the entire Mexican military
A utopia is impossible, but a temporary escape from worldwide hell is a certainty when someone is finally able to defeat Satan
Great. More fascists in my neck of the woods.
Looks so rad. Like a dune screenshot. Considering moving back to México tbh. My family says things are going better and better over there
I don't understand? Why isn't everything yellow?
Mexico needs nukes for national security.
Drug trafficking is about to get a whole lot worse
To Mexico:
Acting Secretary of Defense Robert Salesses
when you try to type your last name but the s key got stuck
Reptilian 
minecraft creeper (he blows up your houssssse)
Seriously, why don't countries use mines more often? Especially any country that borders America? Turn the invading trash into confetti.
....because of what happens when the war ends or a country dissolves. Before the Ottowa Treaty in 1997, an estimated 26,000 people were killed each year by landmines detonated after wars had ended. It costs around $1,000 to remove each mine that costs as little as $3 to manufacture. This means a country may be able to produce tons of mines, but when the conflict ends, they don't have the money to remove them.
Then there's all the damage to the environment and animals. Mines can even be moved by floods or land slides, causing them to go off in areas outside of where they were intended.
costs as little as $3 to manufacture
Shit no wonder the US stopped using mines.
Just wait until the U.S. drops the next generation of self-placing, self-digging, blockchain-powered, AI-enabled landmines with variable weight sensor that can be set from "child" to "large adult." Thanks to the patriotic American taxpayers, each mine is sold in a pack of 1 (one) for the cost of only $2 million USD. But you can't really put a price on freedom, now can you?
Just wait until the U.S. drops the next generation of self-placing, self-digging, blockchain-powered, AI-enabled landmines
The only unrealistic thing about Starcraft is that the spider mines can't target workers
Mines are notoriously difficult to get rid of and indescrimently Kill anything heavier than a penguin
install gentoo
for a second I thought you meant 
and I was going to agree with you
On top of everything mentioned, using land mines is a violation of international law.
I wouldn't be surprised if they came up with true "loitering" solar-powered drones that either stay in the air indefinitely or land/fly in tandem to deny access across a boundary. It would be both expensive and avoid the law against "land" mines.
as if that mattered
Land mines suck, if theyre not triggered you end up with a future problem with yourself. Drones kinda supercede land mines.